Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on July 3?
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
25°C 13%
28°C 8%
$17,072 Объем
$17,072 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
13%
26°C
40%
27°C
42%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 40%
25°C 13%
28°C 8%
$17,072 Объем
$17,072 Объем
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
13%
26°C
40%
27°C
42%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show London maximum temperatures on July 3 most likely peaking near 26–27 °C, producing the tightest implied probabilities at 24.5 % and 29.0 %. A building high-pressure ridge with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover supports daytime warming above the July climatological average of 22 °C, yet small differences in timing of any Atlantic front or boundary-layer mixing keep the two outcomes nearly matched. Traders are weighting the latest model runs most heavily, as forecast uncertainty narrows rapidly with the 48-hour window; the next official update cycle will likely sharpen resolution criteria around the exact daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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