**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in London on July 5, 2026, centers on uncertainty in overnight minimums amid a building high-pressure system and warming trend.** Official Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate daytime highs of 29–31°C with nighttime lows near 17°C under mostly settled conditions, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 15–19°C (each 35–45%). Ensemble model spreads—driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer winds, and radiative cooling—create the tight grouping, as even small differences in clear-sky duration or light winds can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. London’s urban heat island effect further moderates lows compared with surrounding rural areas, while the current high-pressure setup favors clearer spells that support the slightly favored 18°C outcome. With resolution just two days away, fresh model runs and Met Office updates on steering patterns will likely refine the distribution before markets close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоLowest temperature in London on July 5?
Lowest temperature in London on July 5?
18°C 43%
17°C 29%
19°C 14%
16°C 5.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 июл. 2026 г.
14°C or below
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
29%
18°C
43%
19°C
14%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 43%
17°C 29%
19°C 14%
16°C 5.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 июл. 2026 г.
14°C or below
$335 Объем
1%
15°C
$62 Объем
3%
16°C
$10 Объем
5%
17°C
$6 Объем
29%
18°C
$2,159 Объем
43%
19°C
$5 Объем
14%
20°C
$141 Объем
1%
21°C
$55 Объем
1%
22°C
$5 Объем
1%
23°C
$25 Объем
<1%
24°C or higher
$25 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in London on July 5, 2026, centers on uncertainty in overnight minimums amid a building high-pressure system and warming trend.** Official Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate daytime highs of 29–31°C with nighttime lows near 17°C under mostly settled conditions, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 15–19°C (each 35–45%). Ensemble model spreads—driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer winds, and radiative cooling—create the tight grouping, as even small differences in clear-sky duration or light winds can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. London’s urban heat island effect further moderates lows compared with surrounding rural areas, while the current high-pressure setup favors clearer spells that support the slightly favored 18°C outcome. With resolution just two days away, fresh model runs and Met Office updates on steering patterns will likely refine the distribution before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$2,829Дата окончания
5 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in London on July 5, 2026, centers on uncertainty in overnight minimums amid a building high-pressure system and warming trend.** Official Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate daytime highs of 29–31°C with nighttime lows near 17°C under mostly settled conditions, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 15–19°C (each 35–45%). Ensemble model spreads—driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer winds, and radiative cooling—create the tight grouping, as even small differences in clear-sky duration or light winds can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. London’s urban heat island effect further moderates lows compared with surrounding rural areas, while the current high-pressure setup favors clearer spells that support the slightly favored 18°C outcome. With resolution just two days away, fresh model runs and Met Office updates on steering patterns will likely refine the distribution before markets close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,829Дата окончания
5 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in London on July 5, 2026, centers on uncertainty in overnight minimums amid a building high-pressure system and warming trend.** Official Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate daytime highs of 29–31°C with nighttime lows near 17°C under mostly settled conditions, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 15–19°C (each 35–45%). Ensemble model spreads—driven by variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer winds, and radiative cooling—create the tight grouping, as even small differences in clear-sky duration or light winds can shift the minimum by 1–2°C. London’s urban heat island effect further moderates lows compared with surrounding rural areas, while the current high-pressure setup favors clearer spells that support the slightly favored 18°C outcome. With resolution just two days away, fresh model runs and Met Office updates on steering patterns will likely refine the distribution before markets close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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