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Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?

icon for Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?

Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?

96-97°F 100.0%

81°F or below <1%

82-83°F <1%

84-85°F <1%

Polymarket

$38,859 Объем

96-97°F 100.0%

81°F or below <1%

82-83°F <1%

84-85°F <1%

Polymarket

$38,859 Объем

81°F or below

$1,374 Объем

<1%

82-83°F

$1,450 Объем

<1%

84-85°F

$1,255 Объем

<1%

86-87°F

$3,160 Объем

<1%

88-89°F

$3,145 Объем

<1%

90-91°F

$4,149 Объем

<1%

92-93°F

$4,261 Объем

<1%

94-95°F

$8,358 Объем

<1%

96-97°F

$4,438 Объем

100%

98-99°F

$3,965 Объем

<1%

100°F or higher

$3,305 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on July 3 point to a high near 95°F amid ongoing above-normal warmth driven by an upper-level ridge and heat dome pattern over Texas.** Typical early-July insolation and Gulf moisture support strong daytime heating, with dewpoints in the mid-70s pushing heat indices well above 100°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Historical normals for the date hover around 94°F, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Limited tropical moisture or stronger convection would be required to shift outcomes meaningfully lower, while any suppression of clouds could push readings toward 96-97°F.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$38,859
Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on July 3 point to a high near 95°F amid ongoing above-normal warmth driven by an upper-level ridge and heat dome pattern over Texas.** Typical early-July insolation and Gulf moisture support strong daytime heating, with dewpoints in the mid-70s pushing heat indices well above 100°F, though scattered afternoon thunderstorms introduce modest uncertainty that could cap peaks slightly below model guidance. Historical normals for the date hover around 94°F, and current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading 94-95°F bin at 45.5% implied probability. Limited tropical moisture or stronger convection would be required to shift outcomes meaningfully lower, while any suppression of clouds could push readings toward 96-97°F.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$38,859
Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «96-97°F» с 100%, за ним следует «81°F or below» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $38.9K с момента запуска рынка Jul 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?» — «96-97°F» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «81°F or below» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Houston on July 3?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.