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Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?

icon for Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?

Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?

июл. 3

июл. 4

июл. 3

июл. 4

90-91°F 56%

88-89°F 23.4%

92-93°F 8%

94-95°F 1.0%

Polymarket

$47,505 Объем

90-91°F 56%

88-89°F 23.4%

92-93°F 8%

94-95°F 1.0%

Polymarket

$47,505 Объем

81°F or below

$1,438 Объем

<1%

82-83°F

$3,930 Объем

<1%

84-85°F

$2,309 Объем

<1%

86-87°F

$5,544 Объем

<1%

88-89°F

$8,205 Объем

23%

90-91°F

$11,779 Объем

54%

92-93°F

$6,284 Объем

8%

94-95°F

$3,770 Объем

1%

96-97°F

$2,196 Объем

<1%

98-99°F

$1,583 Объем

<1%

100°F or higher

$629 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$47,505
Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from NOAA and NWS indicate Miami will experience highs near 90-92°F on July 3 amid a broad warm air mass and high humidity, with afternoon convective activity and sea-breeze effects as the main variables differentiating outcomes. Recent U.S. heat-wave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures slightly above the 88-89°F July climatological average, yet scattered thunderstorms—common in South Florida during early July—could cap peaks in the 90-91°F range through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Clearer intervals or stronger subsidence would favor 92-93°F, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities reflecting these forecast uncertainties. Updated model runs and local observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$47,505
Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «90-91°F» с 54%, за ним следует «88-89°F» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $47.5K с момента запуска рынка Jul 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?» — «90-91°F» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «88-89°F» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Miami on July 3?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.