Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 3?
23°C 45%
24°C 32%
25°C 10.4%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
$11,979 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,979 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
10%
23°C
45%
24°C
32%
25°C
10%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 45%
24°C 32%
25°C 10.4%
22°C 10%
НОВОЕ
$11,979 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,979 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
20°C or below
$514 Объем
1%
21°C
$715 Объем
2%
22°C
$1,295 Объем
10%
23°C
$3,765 Объем
45%
24°C
$4,075 Объем
32%
25°C
$693 Объем
10%
26°C
$350 Объем
1%
27°C
$209 Объем
1%
28°C
$101 Объем
<1%
29°C
$100 Объем
<1%
30°C or higher
$168 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$11,979Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,979Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and Weather25 point to a maximum of around 22–23°C in Warsaw on July 3, driven by a cooler air mass and possible increased cloud cover that limits diurnal heating. This aligns with the tight market split between those two outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of ensemble guidance and historical July variability where early-month highs average near 24°C but can drop several degrees under northerly flow. Key differentiating factors include precise timing of any clearing skies, surface wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture, which influence peak readings by 1–2°C. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these details ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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