Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 14 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 14 июля?
29°C 46%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 4.5%
НОВОЕ
$57,293 Объем
НОВОЕ
$57,293 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
19%
29°C
46%
30°C
30%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 30%
28°C 19%
27°C 4.5%
НОВОЕ
$57,293 Объем
НОВОЕ
$57,293 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$2,813 Объем
<1%
25°C
$2,942 Объем
<1%
26°C
$5,199 Объем
1%
27°C
$12,736 Объем
5%
28°C
$7,825 Объем
19%
29°C
$6,180 Объем
46%
30°C
$4,787 Объем
30%
31°C
$4,406 Объем
3%
32°C
$4,592 Объем
<1%
33°C
$2,278 Объем
<1%
34°C or higher
$3,535 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Объем
$57,293Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$57,293Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 12, 2026, 1:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts for London on July 14 indicate a maximum of 29–30°C under continued high-pressure influence and mostly sunny conditions following the early-July heatwave that peaked at 35°C on July 9. These official guidance values, combined with limited day-to-day variability in short-range models, have concentrated trader consensus on the 29–31°C brackets. Key variables include the strength of the northeasterly flow moderating coastal warming and the urban heat island effect potentially adding 1–2°C in central areas. With resolution just 48 hours away, updated model runs and any revisions from the Met Office will be the main near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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