Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 14 июля?
29°C 34%
30°C 22%
31°C 20%
28°C 11%
$38,151 Объем
$38,151 Объем
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
11%
29°C
34%
30°C
22%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C или выше
1%
29°C 34%
30°C 22%
31°C 20%
28°C 11%
$38,151 Объем
$38,151 Объем
24°C или ниже
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
11%
29°C
34%
30°C
22%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate highs near 30–32°C on July 14 amid active East Asian summer monsoon conditions, with southwesterly flow delivering warm, humid air masses and scattered convective showers that can modulate peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Historical July averages hover around 32°C, but short-term model runs show sensitivity to timing of rainfall and boundary-layer moisture, spreading trader-implied odds across 28–31°C. Key variables include afternoon thunderstorm potential from the South China Sea monsoon branch and any shifts in subtropical ridge positioning, with updated NWP guidance expected to refine the distribution before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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