**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C for Shenzhen’s July 15 maximum because short-range forecast models show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that will modulate peak heating.** High humidity near 80 % and variable cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection are expected to limit insolation, keeping daytime maxima close to the July climatological average of 30–32 °C while preventing extreme values above 33 °C. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of showers: clearer breaks could push readings to 31 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap them nearer 29 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble guidance on boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, which continue to produce a narrow distribution centered on these four outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 15 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 15 июля?
30°C 27%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
25%
30°C
27%
31°C
19%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 27%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
15 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$110 Объем
<1%
25°C
$54 Объем
<1%
26°C
$422 Объем
1%
27°C
$624 Объем
4%
28°C
$338 Объем
10%
29°C
$746 Объем
25%
30°C
$909 Объем
27%
31°C
$250 Объем
19%
32°C
$417 Объем
7%
33°C
$1,599 Объем
1%
34°C or higher
$2,060 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C for Shenzhen’s July 15 maximum because short-range forecast models show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that will modulate peak heating.** High humidity near 80 % and variable cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection are expected to limit insolation, keeping daytime maxima close to the July climatological average of 30–32 °C while preventing extreme values above 33 °C. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of showers: clearer breaks could push readings to 31 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap them nearer 29 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble guidance on boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, which continue to produce a narrow distribution centered on these four outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$7,530Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C for Shenzhen’s July 15 maximum because short-range forecast models show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that will modulate peak heating.** High humidity near 80 % and variable cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection are expected to limit insolation, keeping daytime maxima close to the July climatological average of 30–32 °C while preventing extreme values above 33 °C. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of showers: clearer breaks could push readings to 31 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap them nearer 29 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble guidance on boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, which continue to produce a narrow distribution centered on these four outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,530Дата окончания
15 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28–31°C for Shenzhen’s July 15 maximum because short-range forecast models show persistent subtropical moisture and scattered thunderstorm activity that will modulate peak heating.** High humidity near 80 % and variable cloud cover from monsoon-driven convection are expected to limit insolation, keeping daytime maxima close to the July climatological average of 30–32 °C while preventing extreme values above 33 °C. Recent model runs highlight sensitivity to the exact timing and coverage of showers: clearer breaks could push readings to 31 °C, whereas earlier or heavier rain would cap them nearer 29 °C. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble guidance on boundary-layer moisture and steering flow, which continue to produce a narrow distribution centered on these four outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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