High pressure dominating southern England supports the current market-implied odds favoring a 32–33°C peak for London on July 9, with Met Office guidance indicating a daytime maximum near 32°C under mostly settled conditions. Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime warming, though small variations in timing or moisture could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 22–24°C underscore the anomaly, driven by the ongoing warm spell, while traders weigh the latest 48-hour forecast updates against potential convective development that might cap temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office recorded maximum at a designated London site.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on July 9?
33°C 32%
34°C 27%
32°C 18%
31°C 9%
30°C or below
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
18%
33°C
32%
34°C
27%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 32%
34°C 27%
32°C 18%
31°C 9%
30°C or below
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
18%
33°C
32%
34°C
27%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...High pressure dominating southern England supports the current market-implied odds favoring a 32–33°C peak for London on July 9, with Met Office guidance indicating a daytime maximum near 32°C under mostly settled conditions. Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights limited cloud cover and light winds that allow daytime warming, though small variations in timing or moisture could shift the exact high by 1–2°C. Historical July averages around 22–24°C underscore the anomaly, driven by the ongoing warm spell, while traders weigh the latest 48-hour forecast updates against potential convective development that might cap temperatures. Resolution hinges on the official Met Office recorded maximum at a designated London site.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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