Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in NYC on July 8?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 8?
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 июл. 2026 г.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
35%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 35%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 22%
78-79°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 июл. 2026 г.
71°F or below
$474 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$1,115 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$460 Объем
1%
76-77°F
$291 Объем
3%
78-79°F
$1,418 Объем
11%
80-81°F
$1,903 Объем
26%
82-83°F
$246 Объем
35%
84-85°F
$317 Объем
22%
86-87°F
$389 Объем
6%
88-89°F
$315 Объем
1%
90°F or higher
$155 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Объем
$7,085Дата окончания
8 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,085Дата окончания
8 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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