Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 29 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Паулу 29 июля?
30°C 100.0%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$101,476 Объем
$101,476 Объем
29 июл. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
30°C 100.0%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$101,476 Объем
$101,476 Объем
29 июл. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$25,299 Объем
<1%
26°C
$7,370 Объем
<1%
27°C
$8,476 Объем
<1%
28°C
$9,183 Объем
<1%
29°C
$11,041 Объем
<1%
30°C
$14,289 Объем
100%
31°C
$9,792 Объем
<1%
32°C
$10,221 Объем
<1%
33°C
$3,650 Объем
<1%
34°C
$722 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$1,432 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$101,476Дата окончания
29 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$101,476Дата окончания
29 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF points to a peak high near 29–31°C in São Paulo on July 29, driven by clear subtropical winter skies, light winds, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, with traders pricing tight spreads around these values due to minor run-to-run variability in exact maximum timing and urban heat island effects at the official Guarulhos station. Historical July baselines average 22–24°C, so this warmer pattern reflects transient high-pressure dominance rather than broader seasonal shifts, though ensemble spreads introduce realistic uncertainty around resolution thresholds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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