Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models point to persistent cloud cover with scattered showers over Tokyo on July 3, limiting daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 29.5 %, 24 °C at 17.5 %), as traders weigh the moderating effects of reduced insolation against the seasonal climatology of 28–30 °C July highs. Lingering early-summer monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns introduce forecast spread, reflected in the broad probability distribution; revised model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift odds toward higher or lower bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 3?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 3?
26°C 46%
25°C 37%
27°C 6.9%
24°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$30,815 Объем
НОВОЕ
$30,815 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
37%
26°C
46%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 46%
25°C 37%
27°C 6.9%
24°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$30,815 Объем
НОВОЕ
$30,815 Объем
3 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$1,614 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,053 Объем
<1%
23°C
$3,904 Объем
1%
24°C
$2,891 Объем
7%
25°C
$4,427 Объем
37%
26°C
$8,918 Объем
46%
27°C
$1,209 Объем
7%
28°C
$3,386 Объем
2%
29°C
$1,192 Объем
1%
30°C
$1,039 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,183 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models point to persistent cloud cover with scattered showers over Tokyo on July 3, limiting daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 29.5 %, 24 °C at 17.5 %), as traders weigh the moderating effects of reduced insolation against the seasonal climatology of 28–30 °C July highs. Lingering early-summer monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns introduce forecast spread, reflected in the broad probability distribution; revised model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift odds toward higher or lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$30,815Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models point to persistent cloud cover with scattered showers over Tokyo on July 3, limiting daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 29.5 %, 24 °C at 17.5 %), as traders weigh the moderating effects of reduced insolation against the seasonal climatology of 28–30 °C July highs. Lingering early-summer monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns introduce forecast spread, reflected in the broad probability distribution; revised model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift odds toward higher or lower bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$30,815Дата окончания
3 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA guidance and ensemble models point to persistent cloud cover with scattered showers over Tokyo on July 3, limiting daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 24–25 °C. These conditions align with the market’s leading outcomes (25 °C at 29.5 %, 24 °C at 17.5 %), as traders weigh the moderating effects of reduced insolation against the seasonal climatology of 28–30 °C July highs. Lingering early-summer monsoon moisture and variable steering patterns introduce forecast spread, reflected in the broad probability distribution; revised model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift odds toward higher or lower bins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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