Traders assign near-certainty to a daily high of 32 °C or higher in Zhengzhou on September 15 because current surface observations and short-range model guidance show temperatures already climbing well above seasonal norms under clear skies and southerly flow. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features afternoon maxima of 27–30 °C, but recent upper-level ridging and reduced cloud cover have produced a pronounced warm anomaly, with official station data confirming rapid daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts exhibit tight agreement on peak readings near or above 33 °C before sunset, leaving little room for the sub-32 °C outcomes priced at negligible levels. Only an unforecasted late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could alter the outcome before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 15 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чжэнчжоу 15 сентября?
32°C или выше 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,559 Объем
$4,559 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
100%
32°C или выше 100.0%
22°C или ниже <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,559 Объем
$4,559 Объем
15 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$86 Объем
<1%
23°C
$86 Объем
<1%
24°C
$45 Объем
<1%
25°C
$36 Объем
<1%
26°C
$332 Объем
<1%
27°C
$384 Объем
<1%
28°C
$550 Объем
<1%
29°C
$252 Объем
<1%
30°C
$603 Объем
<1%
31°C
$898 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$1,287 Объем
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a daily high of 32 °C or higher in Zhengzhou on September 15 because current surface observations and short-range model guidance show temperatures already climbing well above seasonal norms under clear skies and southerly flow. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features afternoon maxima of 27–30 °C, but recent upper-level ridging and reduced cloud cover have produced a pronounced warm anomaly, with official station data confirming rapid daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts exhibit tight agreement on peak readings near or above 33 °C before sunset, leaving little room for the sub-32 °C outcomes priced at negligible levels. Only an unforecasted late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could alter the outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$4,559Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign near-certainty to a daily high of 32 °C or higher in Zhengzhou on September 15 because current surface observations and short-range model guidance show temperatures already climbing well above seasonal norms under clear skies and southerly flow. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features afternoon maxima of 27–30 °C, but recent upper-level ridging and reduced cloud cover have produced a pronounced warm anomaly, with official station data confirming rapid daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts exhibit tight agreement on peak readings near or above 33 °C before sunset, leaving little room for the sub-32 °C outcomes priced at negligible levels. Only an unforecasted late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could alter the outcome before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,559Дата окончания
15 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign near-certainty to a daily high of 32 °C or higher in Zhengzhou on September 15 because current surface observations and short-range model guidance show temperatures already climbing well above seasonal norms under clear skies and southerly flow. Mid-September climatology for the region typically features afternoon maxima of 27–30 °C, but recent upper-level ridging and reduced cloud cover have produced a pronounced warm anomaly, with official station data confirming rapid daytime heating. Ensemble forecasts exhibit tight agreement on peak readings near or above 33 °C before sunset, leaving little room for the sub-32 °C outcomes priced at negligible levels. Only an unforecasted late-day frontal passage or measurement revision could alter the outcome before market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы