Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько поставок Tesla во втором квартале 2026 года?
400–425 тыс. 41.4%
475 тыс.+ 13.3%
425–450 тыс. 12%
350k–375k 10.2%
$209,673 Объем
$209,673 Объем
<300 тыс.
<1%
300–325 тыс.
1%
325–350 тыс.
<1%
350k–375k
10%
375k–400k
7%
400–425 тыс.
41%
425–450 тыс.
12%
450–475 тыс.
9%
475 тыс.+
13%
400–425 тыс. 41.4%
475 тыс.+ 13.3%
425–450 тыс. 12%
350k–375k 10.2%
$209,673 Объем
$209,673 Объем
<300 тыс.
<1%
300–325 тыс.
1%
325–350 тыс.
<1%
350k–375k
10%
375k–400k
7%
400–425 тыс.
41%
425–450 тыс.
12%
450–475 тыс.
9%
475 тыс.+
13%
If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 7:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Tesla does not publish Q2 2026 delivery figures by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent analyst upgrades, particularly Goldman Sachs lifting its Q2 2026 Tesla delivery forecast to 420,000 vehicles from 405,000, have anchored trader sentiment around the closely matched 425k–450k and 450k–475k bins. The revision cites stronger regional sales data from China, the U.S., and Europe tracking ahead of the prior ~400k consensus. This follows Q1’s reported 358,023 deliveries and reflects Tesla’s production capacity exceeding 408,000 units, potential inventory drawdown, and EV demand stabilization despite competitive pressures. Traders appear to weigh these positive signals against ongoing market uncertainties, positioning the official July report as the key resolution catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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