Jerome Powell's term as Fed chair concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation, shifting focus to his governor role that runs until January 2028. Trader sentiment on early departure hinges primarily on the ongoing DOJ investigation into the central bank's headquarters renovation project, which Powell has explicitly tied to his continued service "until well and truly over with transparency and finality." Recent administration pressure and legal actions have reinforced his resolve to stay, while the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around probe resolution timelines versus potential political or Senate-driven exits. Key upcoming catalysts include any DOJ findings or related court developments that could accelerate or delay his departure before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$435,015 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
19%
$435,015 Объем
31 декабря
$148,423 Объем
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as Fed chair concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation, shifting focus to his governor role that runs until January 2028. Trader sentiment on early departure hinges primarily on the ongoing DOJ investigation into the central bank's headquarters renovation project, which Powell has explicitly tied to his continued service "until well and truly over with transparency and finality." Recent administration pressure and legal actions have reinforced his resolve to stay, while the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around probe resolution timelines versus potential political or Senate-driven exits. Key upcoming catalysts include any DOJ findings or related court developments that could accelerate or delay his departure before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$435,015Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as Fed chair concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation, shifting focus to his governor role that runs until January 2028. Trader sentiment on early departure hinges primarily on the ongoing DOJ investigation into the central bank's headquarters renovation project, which Powell has explicitly tied to his continued service "until well and truly over with transparency and finality." Recent administration pressure and legal actions have reinforced his resolve to stay, while the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around probe resolution timelines versus potential political or Senate-driven exits. Key upcoming catalysts include any DOJ findings or related court developments that could accelerate or delay his departure before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$435,015Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Fed chair concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation, shifting focus to his governor role that runs until January 2028. Trader sentiment on early departure hinges primarily on the ongoing DOJ investigation into the central bank's headquarters renovation project, which Powell has explicitly tied to his continued service "until well and truly over with transparency and finality." Recent administration pressure and legal actions have reinforced his resolve to stay, while the market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around probe resolution timelines versus potential political or Senate-driven exits. Key upcoming catalysts include any DOJ findings or related court developments that could accelerate or delay his departure before year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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