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Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?

июл. 3

июл. 4

июл. 5

июл. 6

июл. 3

июл. 4

июл. 5

июл. 6

28°C 28%

27°C 28%

30°C 23%

25°C 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

28°C 28%

27°C 28%

30°C 23%

25°C 17%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

22°C or below

$155 Объем

<1%

23°C

$15 Объем

1%

24°C

$15 Объем

1%

25°C

$0 Объем

17%

26°C

$0 Объем

16%

27°C

$0 Объем

28%

28°C

$0 Объем

28%

29°C

$0 Объем

14%

30°C

$5 Объем

23%

31°C

$0 Объем

<1%

32°C or higher

$78 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to overnight lows near 27–28°C on July 6, driven by southeast monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-July climatology, where average minima hover around 26°C amid frequent cloud cover and moisture convergence that narrows day-to-day variability. Subtle differences in model timing of rain versus clearer intervals explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while lower readings would require stronger onshore winds or heavier nocturnal precipitation than currently projected. Official updates through July 5 will refine these thresholds before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$268
Дата окончания
6 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to overnight lows near 27–28°C on July 6, driven by southeast monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered showers that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions align with typical early-July climatology, where average minima hover around 26°C amid frequent cloud cover and moisture convergence that narrows day-to-day variability. Subtle differences in model timing of rain versus clearer intervals explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27°C and 28°C outcomes, while lower readings would require stronger onshore winds or heavier nocturnal precipitation than currently projected. Official updates through July 5 will refine these thresholds before resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$268
Дата окончания
6 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «27°C» с 28%, за ним следует «28°C» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 28¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?» — «27°C» с 28%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 28%. Следующий ближайший исход — «28°C» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.