Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 22 июня?
29°C 27%
28°C 26%
27°C 20%
30°C 17%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
20%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
17%
31°C
12%
32°C
1%
33°C или выше
<1%
29°C 27%
28°C 26%
27°C 20%
30°C 17%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
20%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
17%
31°C
12%
32°C
1%
33°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and consensus models point to a minimum temperature of 27–29°C on June 22 amid typical southwest monsoon conditions and warm South China Sea sea surface temperatures that limit nocturnal cooling. Historical June overnight lows cluster tightly in the 26–29°C band, with the urban heat island effect further elevating readings even under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 27–29°C outcomes because small variations in cloud cover, humidity, or wind speed can shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide little downside risk for cooler readings. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы