Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Shanghai on June 22, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent plum rain (meiyu) conditions associated with the East Asian monsoon maintain extensive cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates overnight lows relative to clearer-sky baselines. Historical June climatology shows average minima of 20–22°C, with current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather aligning closely with this range amid expected rain showers and overcast skies. Traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or localized cooling against official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau observations that will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шанхае 22 июня?
22°C 33%
23°C 24%
21°C 17%
24°C 16%
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
12%
21°C
17%
22°C
33%
23°C
24%
24°C
16%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
22°C 33%
23°C 24%
21°C 17%
24°C 16%
18°C или ниже
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
12%
21°C
17%
22°C
33%
23°C
24%
24°C
16%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 21–23°C for Shanghai on June 22, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Persistent plum rain (meiyu) conditions associated with the East Asian monsoon maintain extensive cloud cover, which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and elevates overnight lows relative to clearer-sky baselines. Historical June climatology shows average minima of 20–22°C, with current guidance from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather aligning closely with this range amid expected rain showers and overcast skies. Traders appear to weigh residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or localized cooling against official Shanghai Meteorological Bureau observations that will determine resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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