Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 21 project a minimum of 28°C under southerly flow, sunny periods, and very hot daytime conditions, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral influences, and absent cooling fronts or significant rainfall keep overnight lows elevated near the 27–28°C range. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with typical June climatology (average lows ~26–27°C) reinforcing trader positioning around these thresholds while limiting odds for cooler outcomes below 26°C. Updated HKO guidance on June 20–21 remains the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 21 июня?
28°C 66%
27°C 25%
29°C 7.8%
26°C 3.5%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
25%
28°C
66%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
28°C 66%
27°C 25%
29°C 7.8%
26°C 3.5%
23°C или ниже
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
25%
28°C
66%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for June 21 project a minimum of 28°C under southerly flow, sunny periods, and very hot daytime conditions, aligning with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical summer patterns, above-normal seasonal temperatures from ENSO-neutral influences, and absent cooling fronts or significant rainfall keep overnight lows elevated near the 27–28°C range. Recent model consensus shows minimal day-to-day shifts, with typical June climatology (average lows ~26–27°C) reinforcing trader positioning around these thresholds while limiting odds for cooler outcomes below 26°C. Updated HKO guidance on June 20–21 remains the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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