Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a building ridge of high pressure favoring 30–32°C maxima across London on June 19, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of peak insolation and any residual cloud or moisture. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification at official recording sites explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 30°C and 31°C rather than a single outcome. With the event only 48 hours away, updated high-resolution runs and morning observations will narrow the range before settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on June 19?
Highest temperature in London on June 19?
31°C 34%
30°C 31%
32°C 21%
29°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
31%
31°C
34%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
30°C 31%
32°C 21%
29°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 июн. 2026 г.
26°C or below
$433 Объем
1%
27°C
$386 Объем
1%
28°C
$571 Объем
5%
29°C
$1,570 Объем
9%
30°C
$1,245 Объем
31%
31°C
$953 Объем
34%
32°C
$1,098 Объем
21%
33°C
$566 Объем
4%
34°C
$170 Объем
<1%
35°C
$393 Объем
<1%
36°C or higher
$442 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a building ridge of high pressure favoring 30–32°C maxima across London on June 19, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of peak insolation and any residual cloud or moisture. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification at official recording sites explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 30°C and 31°C rather than a single outcome. With the event only 48 hours away, updated high-resolution runs and morning observations will narrow the range before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ET
Объем
$7,827Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a building ridge of high pressure favoring 30–32°C maxima across London on June 19, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of peak insolation and any residual cloud or moisture. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification at official recording sites explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 30°C and 31°C rather than a single outcome. With the event only 48 hours away, updated high-resolution runs and morning observations will narrow the range before settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,827Дата окончания
19 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 2:50 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a building ridge of high pressure favoring 30–32°C maxima across London on June 19, with model spreads reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing of peak insolation and any residual cloud or moisture. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification at official recording sites explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 30°C and 31°C rather than a single outcome. With the event only 48 hours away, updated high-resolution runs and morning observations will narrow the range before settlement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы