**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on June 18?
Highest temperature in London on June 18?
28°C 40%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 июн. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
12%
27°C
26%
28°C
40%
29°C
18%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 40%
27°C 26%
29°C 18%
26°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 июн. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$368 Объем
<1%
23°C
$199 Объем
<1%
24°C
$249 Объем
1%
25°C
$436 Объем
4%
26°C
$266 Объем
12%
27°C
$406 Объем
26%
28°C
$679 Объем
40%
29°C
$590 Объем
18%
30°C
$230 Объем
3%
31°C
$380 Объем
1%
32°C or higher
$419 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Объем
$4,215Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,215Дата окончания
18 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest Met Office and ECMWF guidance shows warm, largely sunny conditions across southeast England on June 18, driven by high pressure favoring warm-air advection and strong daytime heating.** This setup positions maximum temperatures most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (28 °C at 39.5 %, 27 °C at 25.5 %, 29 °C at 17.5 %). Mid-June solar insolation peaks near 16–17 hours of daylight, amplifying surface warming under clear skies, while near-normal June climatology (average highs ~20–22 °C) makes these values notably above average yet within recent model spreads. Recent shifts from May’s heatwave toward more settled but still warm southeast flow have reinforced trader consensus around these thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes pending final model runs and observational updates before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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