Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature of 42°C on June 18 under mainly clear skies, driven by ongoing heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh with limited moisture incursion. This aligns with recent observed highs near 40–44°C, though ensemble models show potential variability from afternoon convection or subtle steering shifts that could cap readings near 39–40°C. Market-implied odds favoring 38–39°C reflect trader emphasis on historical June variability and the possibility of localized cloud cover moderating peak values before the southwest monsoon advances further. Updated IMD morning bulletins and short-range model runs remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 18 июня?
39°C 39%
38°C 23%
40°C 16%
41°C 8.1%
32°C или ниже
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
7%
38°C
23%
39°C
39%
40°C
16%
41°C
8%
42°C или выше
2%
39°C 39%
38°C 23%
40°C 16%
41°C 8.1%
32°C или ниже
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
7%
38°C
23%
39°C
39%
40°C
16%
41°C
8%
42°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature of 42°C on June 18 under mainly clear skies, driven by ongoing heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh with limited moisture incursion. This aligns with recent observed highs near 40–44°C, though ensemble models show potential variability from afternoon convection or subtle steering shifts that could cap readings near 39–40°C. Market-implied odds favoring 38–39°C reflect trader emphasis on historical June variability and the possibility of localized cloud cover moderating peak values before the southwest monsoon advances further. Updated IMD morning bulletins and short-range model runs remain the key catalysts likely to shift probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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