Current ensemble forecasts position the Shanghai maximum near 28–29°C on June 17 because the mei-yu frontal system is expected to deliver increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. Global models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in overcast conditions, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and typical mid-June humidity further moderate extremes, while climatological baselines place average highs around 28°C. Traders are weighting these near-term model consensus outputs heavily, with resolution hinging on the official China Meteorological Administration observation at the reference station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?
28°C 30%
29°C 23%
30°C 12.6%
27°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 30%
29°C 23%
30°C 12.6%
27°C 10%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
30%
29°C
23%
30°C
13%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts position the Shanghai maximum near 28–29°C on June 17 because the mei-yu frontal system is expected to deliver increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit surface heating. Global models show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any breaks in overcast conditions, which can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and typical mid-June humidity further moderate extremes, while climatological baselines place average highs around 28°C. Traders are weighting these near-term model consensus outputs heavily, with resolution hinging on the official China Meteorological Administration observation at the reference station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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