Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on June 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on June 21?
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 24%
35°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июн. 2026 г.
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
24%
33°C
37%
34°C
28%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 37%
34°C 28%
32°C 24%
35°C 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 июн. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$255 Объем
1%
30°C
$109 Объем
1%
31°C
$273 Объем
5%
32°C
$304 Объем
24%
33°C
$192 Объем
37%
34°C
$230 Объем
28%
35°C
$170 Объем
9%
36°C
$155 Объем
1%
37°C
$203 Объем
1%
38°C
$586 Объем
<1%
39°C or higher
$586 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$3,063Дата окончания
21 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,063Дата окончания
21 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model guidance from the ECMWF and DWD ensembles has converged on a Munich maximum of 32–33°C for June 21, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those bins. Clear skies, light easterly flow, and modest downslope warming from the Alps favor efficient surface heating without significant cloud suppression or mixing. Ensemble spread remains narrow but allows for 1°C differences tied to minor shifts in boundary-layer moisture or the precise timing of peak insolation. Historical June extremes in southern Bavaria rarely exceed 34°C absent a strong Föhn event, supporting the low probabilities assigned to 35°C and higher while leaving room for last-minute adjustments from updated short-range runs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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