Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote, where Sundar Pichai stated Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month,” remains the dominant catalyst behind the market’s heavy weighting toward late June dates. Traders have priced June 30 at 59% implied probability because the company has historically aligned major Pro-tier updates with the end of the month following a Flash preview, allowing time for internal validation and benchmark tuning. The 20% chance of no release by June 30 reflects uncertainty over exact timing and the possibility of further iteration within the 3.x family before a 4.0-class jump. Recent enterprise release notes and API changelogs show continued 3.5 Flash stabilization but no new Pro preview, keeping the window open while underscoring Google’s cautious rollout cadence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
Следующая модель Google Gemini Pro выпущена...?
30 июня 62%
Не будет выпущен до 30 июня 18.4%
23 июня 14%
18 июня 4%
$124,416 Объем
$124,416 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
14 июня
<1%
15 июня
<1%
16 июня
2%
17 июня
1%
18 июня
4%
19 июня
<1%
20 июня
<1%
21 июня
<1%
22 июня
1%
23 июня
14%
24 июня
<1%
25 июня
<1%
26 июня
3%
27 июня
<1%
28 июня
<1%
29 июня
<1%
30 июня
62%
Не будет выпущен до 30 июня
18%
30 июня 62%
Не будет выпущен до 30 июня 18.4%
23 июня 14%
18 июня 4%
$124,416 Объем
$124,416 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
14 июня
$2,635 Объем
<1%
15 июня
$1,939 Объем
<1%
16 июня
$3,411 Объем
2%
17 июня
$3,532 Объем
1%
18 июня
$2,597 Объем
4%
19 июня
$2,548 Объем
<1%
20 июня
$1,629 Объем
<1%
21 июня
$1,501 Объем
<1%
22 июня
$5,778 Объем
1%
23 июня
$5,626 Объем
14%
24 июня
$4,326 Объем
<1%
25 июня
$2,418 Объем
<1%
26 июня
$4,814 Объем
3%
27 июня
$2,019 Объем
<1%
28 июня
$1,416 Объем
<1%
29 июня
$1,805 Объем
<1%
30 июня
$6,769 Объем
62%
Не будет выпущен до 30 июня
$20,334 Объем
18%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote, where Sundar Pichai stated Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month,” remains the dominant catalyst behind the market’s heavy weighting toward late June dates. Traders have priced June 30 at 59% implied probability because the company has historically aligned major Pro-tier updates with the end of the month following a Flash preview, allowing time for internal validation and benchmark tuning. The 20% chance of no release by June 30 reflects uncertainty over exact timing and the possibility of further iteration within the 3.x family before a 4.0-class jump. Recent enterprise release notes and API changelogs show continued 3.5 Flash stabilization but no new Pro preview, keeping the window open while underscoring Google’s cautious rollout cadence.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Объем
$124,416Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote, where Sundar Pichai stated Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month,” remains the dominant catalyst behind the market’s heavy weighting toward late June dates. Traders have priced June 30 at 59% implied probability because the company has historically aligned major Pro-tier updates with the end of the month following a Flash preview, allowing time for internal validation and benchmark tuning. The 20% chance of no release by June 30 reflects uncertainty over exact timing and the possibility of further iteration within the 3.x family before a 4.0-class jump. Recent enterprise release notes and API changelogs show continued 3.5 Flash stabilization but no new Pro preview, keeping the window open while underscoring Google’s cautious rollout cadence.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$124,416Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 2026 I/O keynote, where Sundar Pichai stated Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive “next month,” remains the dominant catalyst behind the market’s heavy weighting toward late June dates. Traders have priced June 30 at 59% implied probability because the company has historically aligned major Pro-tier updates with the end of the month following a Flash preview, allowing time for internal validation and benchmark tuning. The 20% chance of no release by June 30 reflects uncertainty over exact timing and the possibility of further iteration within the 3.x family before a 4.0-class jump. Recent enterprise release notes and API changelogs show continued 3.5 Flash stabilization but no new Pro preview, keeping the window open while underscoring Google’s cautious rollout cadence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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