The next parliamentary by-election is scheduled for Holborn and St Pancras on 8 October 2026, following Keir Starmer's resignation from the Commons on 1 September. The process requires the relevant party chief whip to move the writ in the House, after which the Speaker issues the warrant and the returning officer sets the date within the statutory 21-27 working day window. Recent Westminster contests, including Clacton on 13 August and three seats on 18 June, were all triggered by MP resignations linked to leadership transitions, investigations, or strategic moves. Frequent local council by-elections occur throughout September and October, but national attention and trader focus remain on parliamentary vacancies due to their procedural timelines and potential for broader political signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующие дополнительные выборы в Великобритании, назначенные...?
Следующие дополнительные выборы в Великобритании, назначенные...?
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
31 октября
15%
31 декабря
20%
$72 Объем
31 октября
$0 Объем
15%
31 декабря
$72 Объем
20%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The next parliamentary by-election is scheduled for Holborn and St Pancras on 8 October 2026, following Keir Starmer's resignation from the Commons on 1 September. The process requires the relevant party chief whip to move the writ in the House, after which the Speaker issues the warrant and the returning officer sets the date within the statutory 21-27 working day window. Recent Westminster contests, including Clacton on 13 August and three seats on 18 June, were all triggered by MP resignations linked to leadership transitions, investigations, or strategic moves. Frequent local council by-elections occur throughout September and October, but national attention and trader focus remain on parliamentary vacancies due to their procedural timelines and potential for broader political signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Объем
$72Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The next parliamentary by-election is scheduled for Holborn and St Pancras on 8 October 2026, following Keir Starmer's resignation from the Commons on 1 September. The process requires the relevant party chief whip to move the writ in the House, after which the Speaker issues the warrant and the returning officer sets the date within the statutory 21-27 working day window. Recent Westminster contests, including Clacton on 13 August and three seats on 18 June, were all triggered by MP resignations linked to leadership transitions, investigations, or strategic moves. Frequent local council by-elections occur throughout September and October, but national attention and trader focus remain on parliamentary vacancies due to their procedural timelines and potential for broader political signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in a UK parliamentary constituency is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify.
Only a writ issued after market creation will count. The writ for the Holborn and St Pancras by-election, issued prior to market creation, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$72Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 5:47 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The next parliamentary by-election is scheduled for Holborn and St Pancras on 8 October 2026, following Keir Starmer's resignation from the Commons on 1 September. The process requires the relevant party chief whip to move the writ in the House, after which the Speaker issues the warrant and the returning officer sets the date within the statutory 21-27 working day window. Recent Westminster contests, including Clacton on 13 August and three seats on 18 June, were all triggered by MP resignations linked to leadership transitions, investigations, or strategic moves. Frequent local council by-elections occur throughout September and October, but national attention and trader focus remain on parliamentary vacancies due to their procedural timelines and potential for broader political signals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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