Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, held under special administrative measures including solitary confinement, since his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. special forces on narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. He pleaded not guilty in New York federal court, where pretrial motions continue; a judge recently rejected dismissal requests and postponed the next hearing to June 2026, with no bail granted. Venezuela's post-Maduro transition has seen political prisoners released and interim leadership established, but no diplomatic efforts for his return have advanced in the past 30 days. Traders weigh judicial outcomes, potential appeals, or executive actions as paths to release amid ongoing legal proceedings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2,625,538 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
31 декабря
15%
$2,625,538 Объем
31 декабря
$230,089 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, held under special administrative measures including solitary confinement, since his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. special forces on narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. He pleaded not guilty in New York federal court, where pretrial motions continue; a judge recently rejected dismissal requests and postponed the next hearing to June 2026, with no bail granted. Venezuela's post-Maduro transition has seen political prisoners released and interim leadership established, but no diplomatic efforts for his return have advanced in the past 30 days. Traders weigh judicial outcomes, potential appeals, or executive actions as paths to release amid ongoing legal proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Объем
$2,625,538Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, held under special administrative measures including solitary confinement, since his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. special forces on narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. He pleaded not guilty in New York federal court, where pretrial motions continue; a judge recently rejected dismissal requests and postponed the next hearing to June 2026, with no bail granted. Venezuela's post-Maduro transition has seen political prisoners released and interim leadership established, but no diplomatic efforts for his return have advanced in the past 30 days. Traders weigh judicial outcomes, potential appeals, or executive actions as paths to release amid ongoing legal proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,625,538Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, held under special administrative measures including solitary confinement, since his January 3, 2026, capture by U.S. special forces on narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges. He pleaded not guilty in New York federal court, where pretrial motions continue; a judge recently rejected dismissal requests and postponed the next hearing to June 2026, with no bail granted. Venezuela's post-Maduro transition has seen political prisoners released and interim leadership established, but no diplomatic efforts for his return have advanced in the past 30 days. Traders weigh judicial outcomes, potential appeals, or executive actions as paths to release amid ongoing legal proceedings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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