Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in the market as Venezuela’s interim president since early January 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro and her appointment by the Supreme Court to ensure governmental continuity. She has consolidated control with military and PSUV backing, advanced pragmatic ties with the United States including major oil agreements, and overseen limited opposition negotiations without scheduling competitive elections. Trader consensus reflects these institutional and diplomatic realities, which favor continuity through the end of 2026. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include accelerated U.S. pressure for multi-party elections, a successful return and mobilization by opposition figures such as María Corina Machado, or unexpected institutional shifts within the ruling coalition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДельси Родригес 94%
Мария Корина Мачадо 3.8%
Марко Рубио <1%
Динора Фигера <1%
$390,218 Объем
$390,218 Объем
Дельси Родригес
94%
Мария Корина Мачадо
4%
Марко Рубио
1%
Динора Фигера
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Николас Мадуро
<1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
Дельси Родригес 94%
Мария Корина Мачадо 3.8%
Марко Рубио <1%
Динора Фигера <1%
$390,218 Объем
$390,218 Объем
Дельси Родригес
94%
Мария Корина Мачадо
4%
Марко Рубио
1%
Динора Фигера
1%
Нет главы государства
1%
Эдмундо Гонсалес
<1%
Хорхе Родригес
<1%
Николас Мадуро
<1%
Диосдадо Кабельо Рондон
<1%
Дональд Трамп
<1%
Владимир Падрино Лопес
<1%
Эван Пэттус
<1%
Дэн Кейн
<1%
Пит Хегсет
<1%
Ричард Гренелл
<1%
Фрэнк Донован
<1%
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Открытие рынка: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds a commanding position in the market as Venezuela’s interim president since early January 2026, following the U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro and her appointment by the Supreme Court to ensure governmental continuity. She has consolidated control with military and PSUV backing, advanced pragmatic ties with the United States including major oil agreements, and overseen limited opposition negotiations without scheduling competitive elections. Trader consensus reflects these institutional and diplomatic realities, which favor continuity through the end of 2026. Scenarios that could alter the outlook include accelerated U.S. pressure for multi-party elections, a successful return and mobilization by opposition figures such as María Corina Machado, or unexpected institutional shifts within the ruling coalition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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