Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his January 3, 2026, capture in Caracas during a U.S. special forces operation, after which he was transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn to face drug trafficking and related charges in New York federal court. Venezuela’s interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez has since enacted limited amnesty measures and released hundreds of domestic political prisoners to ease tensions and advance U.S. diplomatic normalization, yet these steps have not extended to Maduro himself. International calls for his release continue from Venezuela, Russia, China, and Belarus, while U.S. legal proceedings advance without a confirmed trial date or plea resolution. Trader probabilities on release timelines reflect the combination of ongoing U.S. judicial processes, potential diplomatic negotiations, and the absence of any immediate executive or court action that would alter his detention status.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$2,625,538 Объем
31 янв. 2026 г.
31 декабря
15%
$2,625,538 Объем
31 декабря
$230,089 Объем
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his January 3, 2026, capture in Caracas during a U.S. special forces operation, after which he was transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn to face drug trafficking and related charges in New York federal court. Venezuela’s interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez has since enacted limited amnesty measures and released hundreds of domestic political prisoners to ease tensions and advance U.S. diplomatic normalization, yet these steps have not extended to Maduro himself. International calls for his release continue from Venezuela, Russia, China, and Belarus, while U.S. legal proceedings advance without a confirmed trial date or plea resolution. Trader probabilities on release timelines reflect the combination of ongoing U.S. judicial processes, potential diplomatic negotiations, and the absence of any immediate executive or court action that would alter his detention status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Объем
$2,625,538Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his January 3, 2026, capture in Caracas during a U.S. special forces operation, after which he was transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn to face drug trafficking and related charges in New York federal court. Venezuela’s interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez has since enacted limited amnesty measures and released hundreds of domestic political prisoners to ease tensions and advance U.S. diplomatic normalization, yet these steps have not extended to Maduro himself. International calls for his release continue from Venezuela, Russia, China, and Belarus, while U.S. legal proceedings advance without a confirmed trial date or plea resolution. Trader probabilities on release timelines reflect the combination of ongoing U.S. judicial processes, potential diplomatic negotiations, and the absence of any immediate executive or court action that would alter his detention status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$2,625,538Дата окончания
31 янв. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody since his January 3, 2026, capture in Caracas during a U.S. special forces operation, after which he was transferred to the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn to face drug trafficking and related charges in New York federal court. Venezuela’s interim government under acting President Delcy Rodríguez has since enacted limited amnesty measures and released hundreds of domestic political prisoners to ease tensions and advance U.S. diplomatic normalization, yet these steps have not extended to Maduro himself. International calls for his release continue from Venezuela, Russia, China, and Belarus, while U.S. legal proceedings advance without a confirmed trial date or plea resolution. Trader probabilities on release timelines reflect the combination of ongoing U.S. judicial processes, potential diplomatic negotiations, and the absence of any immediate executive or court action that would alter his detention status.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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