Traders see high uncertainty in the second-place Text Arena Math lab outcome because current lmarena.ai lab rankings show Anthropic leading while Google, Meta, and several Chinese labs trade within a few points on math-specific categories. Recent Gemini 3.x and Qwen3 releases have narrowed gaps in reasoning benchmarks, yet preliminary scores and rapid iteration cycles mean small capability jumps can reorder positions quickly before the November 30 snapshot. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Moonshot’s Kimi models add further volatility, as traders weigh demonstrated math performance against unproven next releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторая лучшая математическая ИИ-лаборатория текстовой арены в конце ноября?
Google 28%
Anthropic 26%
OpenAI 14%
Alibaba 11.6%

28%

Anthropic
26%

OpenAI
14%

Alibaba
12%

Moonshot
10%

Baidu
8%

Meta
8%

Z.ai
7%

MiniMax
7%

Tencent
7%

Xiaomi
5%

ByteDance
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Mistral
4%

Nvidia
4%

Meituan
4%

Amazon
3%

Thinky
3%

SpaceXAI
8%

Microsoft
7%

StepFun
7%
Google 28%
Anthropic 26%
OpenAI 14%
Alibaba 11.6%

28%

Anthropic
26%

OpenAI
14%

Alibaba
12%

Moonshot
10%

Baidu
8%

Meta
8%

Z.ai
7%

MiniMax
7%

Tencent
7%

Xiaomi
5%

ByteDance
4%

DeepSeek
4%

Mistral
4%

Nvidia
4%

Meituan
4%

Amazon
3%

Thinky
3%

SpaceXAI
8%

Microsoft
7%

StepFun
7%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders see high uncertainty in the second-place Text Arena Math lab outcome because current lmarena.ai lab rankings show Anthropic leading while Google, Meta, and several Chinese labs trade within a few points on math-specific categories. Recent Gemini 3.x and Qwen3 releases have narrowed gaps in reasoning benchmarks, yet preliminary scores and rapid iteration cycles mean small capability jumps can reorder positions quickly before the November 30 snapshot. OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Moonshot’s Kimi models add further volatility, as traders weigh demonstrated math performance against unproven next releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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