The South African Reserve Bank’s May 28 Monetary Policy Committee decision carries near-certain market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point repo rate hike to 7.00%, driven primarily by April CPI rising to 4.0%—at the upper end of the 3% target band—along with fuel inflation exceeding 18% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. After holding the rate at 6.75% in March, the MPC revised 2026 inflation forecasts upward to 3.7% and signaled fewer expected cuts, reflecting sustained upside risks from energy prices and potential second-round effects. This hawkish shift aligns trader consensus with the need to anchor expectations ahead of second-quarter price pressures. A significantly softer May inflation print or rapid de-escalation in global energy markets could still support a hold, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the data trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПовышение 100.0%
Снижение <1%
Без изменений <1%
$19,221 Объем
$19,221 Объем
Снижение
Нет
Без изменений
Нет
Повышение
Да
Повышение 100.0%
Снижение <1%
Без изменений <1%
$19,221 Объем
$19,221 Объем
Снижение
Нет
Без изменений
Нет
Повышение
Да
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 7:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market is information released by the South African Reserve Bank after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank meeting schedule: https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the South African Reserve Bank's statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The South African Reserve Bank’s May 28 Monetary Policy Committee decision carries near-certain market-implied odds of a 25-basis-point repo rate hike to 7.00%, driven primarily by April CPI rising to 4.0%—at the upper end of the 3% target band—along with fuel inflation exceeding 18% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions. After holding the rate at 6.75% in March, the MPC revised 2026 inflation forecasts upward to 3.7% and signaled fewer expected cuts, reflecting sustained upside risks from energy prices and potential second-round effects. This hawkish shift aligns trader consensus with the need to anchor expectations ahead of second-quarter price pressures. A significantly softer May inflation print or rapid de-escalation in global energy markets could still support a hold, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the data trajectory.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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