Recent polling averages place Republican Darline Graham narrowly ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews by roughly 3–5 points, reflecting a competitive contest in a state that has favored Republicans in Senate races for decades. The race tightened after incumbent Lindsey Graham’s death in July 2026, the subsequent appointment of his sister Darline, and her narrow runoff victory over Rep. Ralph Norman with strong Trump backing. Andrews has emphasized fundraising strength and targeted outreach on healthcare and economic issues, while Graham benefits from party infrastructure and the state’s partisan lean. Trader consensus on a near-even outcome and elevated odds for a single-digit margin capture the limited separation between the candidates six weeks before the November 3 vote, with turnout among independents and suburban voters likely to determine final separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМаржа победы на выборах в Сенат Южной Каролины
Маржа победы на выборах в Сенат Южной Каролины
Грэм 0-5% 33%
Грэм 5-10% 21%
Грэм 10-15% 18%
Побеждает Эндрюс 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Грэм 30%+
1%
Грэм 25-30%
1%
Грэм 20-25%
4%
Грэм 15-20%
7%
Грэм 10-15%
18%
Грэм 5-10%
21%
Грэм 0-5%
33%
Побеждает Эндрюс
14%
Грэм 0-5% 33%
Грэм 5-10% 21%
Грэм 10-15% 18%
Побеждает Эндрюс 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Грэм 30%+
$978 Объем
1%
Грэм 25-30%
$364 Объем
1%
Грэм 20-25%
$191 Объем
4%
Грэм 15-20%
$219 Объем
7%
Грэм 10-15%
$248 Объем
18%
Грэм 5-10%
$258 Объем
21%
Грэм 0-5%
$525 Объем
33%
Побеждает Эндрюс
$465 Объем
14%
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages place Republican Darline Graham narrowly ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews by roughly 3–5 points, reflecting a competitive contest in a state that has favored Republicans in Senate races for decades. The race tightened after incumbent Lindsey Graham’s death in July 2026, the subsequent appointment of his sister Darline, and her narrow runoff victory over Rep. Ralph Norman with strong Trump backing. Andrews has emphasized fundraising strength and targeted outreach on healthcare and economic issues, while Graham benefits from party infrastructure and the state’s partisan lean. Trader consensus on a near-even outcome and elevated odds for a single-digit margin capture the limited separation between the candidates six weeks before the November 3 vote, with turnout among independents and suburban voters likely to determine final separation.
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
Объем
$3,248Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling averages place Republican Darline Graham narrowly ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews by roughly 3–5 points, reflecting a competitive contest in a state that has favored Republicans in Senate races for decades. The race tightened after incumbent Lindsey Graham’s death in July 2026, the subsequent appointment of his sister Darline, and her narrow runoff victory over Rep. Ralph Norman with strong Trump backing. Andrews has emphasized fundraising strength and targeted outreach on healthcare and economic issues, while Graham benefits from party infrastructure and the state’s partisan lean. Trader consensus on a near-even outcome and elevated odds for a single-digit margin capture the limited separation between the candidates six weeks before the November 3 vote, with turnout among independents and suburban voters likely to determine final separation.
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,248Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Republican Darline Graham narrowly ahead of Democrat Annie Andrews by roughly 3–5 points, reflecting a competitive contest in a state that has favored Republicans in Senate races for decades. The race tightened after incumbent Lindsey Graham’s death in July 2026, the subsequent appointment of his sister Darline, and her narrow runoff victory over Rep. Ralph Norman with strong Trump backing. Andrews has emphasized fundraising strength and targeted outreach on healthcare and economic issues, while Graham benefits from party infrastructure and the state’s partisan lean. Trader consensus on a near-even outcome and elevated odds for a single-digit margin capture the limited separation between the candidates six weeks before the November 3 vote, with turnout among independents and suburban voters likely to determine final separation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
27%
Победит ли кандидат от Демократической партии на выборах в Сенат Северной Каролины 2026 года с разницей в 3%-6%?
19%
Да
Победит ли кандидат от Демократической партии на выборах в Палату представителей по округу SC-06 в 2026 году с разницей в 30–35%?
32%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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