SpaceX's recent confidential IPO filing and reports targeting a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation have anchored trader consensus on a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Secondary share sales climbed from $800 billion in late 2025 to over $1.25 trillion after the xAI merger, fueled by Starlink's revenue growth and reusable launch dominance, with the June 2026 debut now positioned as history's largest listing. Private-market tenders have already cleared most price discovery, leaving limited room for downside surprises. Still, realistic challenges include a broader market pullback compressing multiples, regulatory scrutiny on ambitious projections like orbital AI infrastructure, or a later listing that shifts timing expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКапитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (самые низкие страйки)
Капитализация закрытия IPO SpaceX (самые низкие страйки)
1Т+ 96%
Нет IPO до 2028 года 1.3%
800 млрд–900 млрд 1.1%
700 млрд–800 млрд <1%
$3,425,642 Объем
$3,425,642 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500B
<1%
500 млрд–600 млрд
<1%
600 млрд–700 млрд
<1%
700 млрд–800 млрд
1%
800 млрд–900 млрд
1%
900 млрд–1 трлн
1%
1Т+
96%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
1%
1Т+ 96%
Нет IPO до 2028 года 1.3%
800 млрд–900 млрд 1.1%
700 млрд–800 млрд <1%
$3,425,642 Объем
$3,425,642 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
<500B
$376,674 Объем
<1%
500 млрд–600 млрд
$320,391 Объем
<1%
600 млрд–700 млрд
$292,708 Объем
<1%
700 млрд–800 млрд
$331,555 Объем
1%
800 млрд–900 млрд
$481,987 Объем
1%
900 млрд–1 трлн
$418,882 Объем
1%
1Т+
$610,173 Объем
96%
Нет IPO до 2028 года
$593,272 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's recent confidential IPO filing and reports targeting a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation have anchored trader consensus on a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Secondary share sales climbed from $800 billion in late 2025 to over $1.25 trillion after the xAI merger, fueled by Starlink's revenue growth and reusable launch dominance, with the June 2026 debut now positioned as history's largest listing. Private-market tenders have already cleared most price discovery, leaving limited room for downside surprises. Still, realistic challenges include a broader market pullback compressing multiples, regulatory scrutiny on ambitious projections like orbital AI infrastructure, or a later listing that shifts timing expectations.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Объем
$3,425,642Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's recent confidential IPO filing and reports targeting a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation have anchored trader consensus on a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Secondary share sales climbed from $800 billion in late 2025 to over $1.25 trillion after the xAI merger, fueled by Starlink's revenue growth and reusable launch dominance, with the June 2026 debut now positioned as history's largest listing. Private-market tenders have already cleared most price discovery, leaving limited room for downside surprises. Still, realistic challenges include a broader market pullback compressing multiples, regulatory scrutiny on ambitious projections like orbital AI infrastructure, or a later listing that shifts timing expectations.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$3,425,642Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's recent confidential IPO filing and reports targeting a $1.5–1.75 trillion valuation have anchored trader consensus on a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Secondary share sales climbed from $800 billion in late 2025 to over $1.25 trillion after the xAI merger, fueled by Starlink's revenue growth and reusable launch dominance, with the June 2026 debut now positioned as history's largest listing. Private-market tenders have already cleared most price discovery, leaving limited room for downside surprises. Still, realistic challenges include a broader market pullback compressing multiples, regulatory scrutiny on ambitious projections like orbital AI infrastructure, or a later listing that shifts timing expectations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы