**Strong holdover momentum from its record-setting run positions the 5th weekend gross in the $22-24 million range as the clear market favorite.** Following a $360 million opening and subsequent weekends of roughly $144 million, $71 million, and $39 million—with drops of 60%, 51%, and 45%—traders expect another typical blockbuster decline of around 40-45% from the fourth frame, landing in that narrow band. The film’s exceptional legs (2.4x multiplier through week four), 90% Rotten Tomatoes score, A CinemaScore, and $870 million domestic total reflect sustained audience interest and limited late-August competition, supporting the 64.5% implied probability on 22-24 million while the 20-22 million band at 31.5% accounts for any accelerated softening. New releases like *Insidious: Out of the Further* pose only modest headwinds for this established tentpole.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5-я касса уикенда «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день»
5-я касса уикенда «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день»
22-24 млн 64%
20-22 млн 32%
<20 млн 1.5%
24-26 млн 1.3%
$65,410 Объем
$65,410 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
<20 млн
2%
20-22 млн
32%
22-24 млн
64%
24-26 млн
1%
26 млн+
1%
22-24 млн 64%
20-22 млн 32%
<20 млн 1.5%
24-26 млн 1.3%
$65,410 Объем
$65,410 Объем
30 авг. 2026 г.
<20 млн
$12,561 Объем
2%
20-22 млн
$20,297 Объем
32%
22-24 млн
$13,998 Объем
64%
24-26 млн
$8,690 Объем
1%
26 млн+
$9,863 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong holdover momentum from its record-setting run positions the 5th weekend gross in the $22-24 million range as the clear market favorite.**
Following a $360 million opening and subsequent weekends of roughly $144 million, $71 million, and $39 million—with drops of 60%, 51%, and 45%—traders expect another typical blockbuster decline of around 40-45% from the fourth frame, landing in that narrow band. The film’s exceptional legs (2.4x multiplier through week four), 90% Rotten Tomatoes score, A CinemaScore, and $870 million domestic total reflect sustained audience interest and limited late-August competition, supporting the 64.5% implied probability on 22-24 million while the 20-22 million band at 31.5% accounts for any accelerated softening. New releases like *Insidious: Out of the Further* pose only modest headwinds for this established tentpole.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Объем
$65,410Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong holdover momentum from its record-setting run positions the 5th weekend gross in the $22-24 million range as the clear market favorite.**
Following a $360 million opening and subsequent weekends of roughly $144 million, $71 million, and $39 million—with drops of 60%, 51%, and 45%—traders expect another typical blockbuster decline of around 40-45% from the fourth frame, landing in that narrow band. The film’s exceptional legs (2.4x multiplier through week four), 90% Rotten Tomatoes score, A CinemaScore, and $870 million domestic total reflect sustained audience interest and limited late-August competition, supporting the 64.5% implied probability on 22-24 million while the 20-22 million band at 31.5% accounts for any accelerated softening. New releases like *Insidious: Out of the Further* pose only modest headwinds for this established tentpole.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 5th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 28 - 30) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$65,410Дата окончания
30 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 25, 2026, 8:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Strong holdover momentum from its record-setting run positions the 5th weekend gross in the $22-24 million range as the clear market favorite.** Following a $360 million opening and subsequent weekends of roughly $144 million, $71 million, and $39 million—with drops of 60%, 51%, and 45%—traders expect another typical blockbuster decline of around 40-45% from the fourth frame, landing in that narrow band. The film’s exceptional legs (2.4x multiplier through week four), 90% Rotten Tomatoes score, A CinemaScore, and $870 million domestic total reflect sustained audience interest and limited late-August competition, supporting the 64.5% implied probability on 22-24 million while the 20-22 million band at 31.5% accounts for any accelerated softening. New releases like *Insidious: Out of the Further* pose only modest headwinds for this established tentpole.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общий внутренний валовой доход фильма «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» находиться в диапазоне от 800 до 900 миллионов к 31 августа?
99%
Да
Будет ли общий внутренний валовой доход фильма «Человек-паук: Совершенно новый день» в пределах от 940 млн до 950 млн к 30 сентября?
43%
Да
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
99%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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