Several AI labs remain closely matched in trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena Math by end of November, with DeepSeek holding the highest implied probability at 36.4% amid strong recent benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic follows at 33.5%, reflecting sustained Claude model improvements in step-by-step problem solving, while OpenAI and Nvidia sit near 25.5% on the strength of iterative large language model updates and hardware optimizations. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable benchmark scores, model release cadence, and demonstrated capabilities in complex math tasks rather than marketing claims. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, new training runs, and third-party evaluations that could shift positioning before resolution. Traders weigh these against historical patterns of rapid capability jumps across labs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоТретья лучшая математическая ИИ-лаборатория текстовой арены в конце ноября?
Третья лучшая математическая ИИ-лаборатория текстовой арены в конце ноября?
StepFun 34%
DeepSeek 30.4%
Meituan 29%
Meta 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
StepFun
34%
DeepSeek
30%
Meituan
29%
Meta
26%
Nvidia
26%
Baidu
25%
Xiaomi
25%
Moonshot
25%
Microsoft
25%
Tencent
25%
Thinky
25%
SpaceXAI
24%
19%
Anthropic
14%
OpenAI
14%
Z.ai
14%
Bytedance
14%
Mistral
14%
Amazon
8%
Alibaba
4%
MiniMax
13%
StepFun 34%
DeepSeek 30.4%
Meituan 29%
Meta 26%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
StepFun
$128 Объем
34%
DeepSeek
$33 Объем
30%
Meituan
$33 Объем
29%
Meta
$33 Объем
26%
Nvidia
$33 Объем
26%
Baidu
$33 Объем
25%
Xiaomi
$33 Объем
25%
Moonshot
$33 Объем
25%
Microsoft
$33 Объем
25%
Tencent
$33 Объем
25%
Thinky
$33 Объем
25%
SpaceXAI
$33 Объем
24%
$33 Объем
19%
Anthropic
$33 Объем
14%
OpenAI
$33 Объем
14%
Z.ai
$33 Объем
14%
Bytedance
$33 Объем
14%
Mistral
$33 Объем
14%
Amazon
$54 Объем
8%
Alibaba
$33 Объем
4%
MiniMax
$45 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Several AI labs remain closely matched in trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena Math by end of November, with DeepSeek holding the highest implied probability at 36.4% amid strong recent benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic follows at 33.5%, reflecting sustained Claude model improvements in step-by-step problem solving, while OpenAI and Nvidia sit near 25.5% on the strength of iterative large language model updates and hardware optimizations. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable benchmark scores, model release cadence, and demonstrated capabilities in complex math tasks rather than marketing claims. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, new training runs, and third-party evaluations that could shift positioning before resolution. Traders weigh these against historical patterns of rapid capability jumps across labs.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Объем
$811Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Several AI labs remain closely matched in trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena Math by end of November, with DeepSeek holding the highest implied probability at 36.4% amid strong recent benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic follows at 33.5%, reflecting sustained Claude model improvements in step-by-step problem solving, while OpenAI and Nvidia sit near 25.5% on the strength of iterative large language model updates and hardware optimizations. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable benchmark scores, model release cadence, and demonstrated capabilities in complex math tasks rather than marketing claims. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, new training runs, and third-party evaluations that could shift positioning before resolution. Traders weigh these against historical patterns of rapid capability jumps across labs.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$811Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Several AI labs remain closely matched in trader sentiment for third place in Text Arena Math by end of November, with DeepSeek holding the highest implied probability at 36.4% amid strong recent benchmark gains in mathematical reasoning. Anthropic follows at 33.5%, reflecting sustained Claude model improvements in step-by-step problem solving, while OpenAI and Nvidia sit near 25.5% on the strength of iterative large language model updates and hardware optimizations. Competitive dynamics hinge on verifiable benchmark scores, model release cadence, and demonstrated capabilities in complex math tasks rather than marketing claims. Key swing factors include upcoming developer conferences, new training runs, and third-party evaluations that could shift positioning before resolution. Traders weigh these against historical patterns of rapid capability jumps across labs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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