Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Video of the Year market at 63% implied probability, reflecting her unmatched category history, the track’s chart-topping performance from *The Life of a Showgirl*, and the video’s high-production visuals that earned multiple technical nods. Traders appear to factor in Swift’s dedicated fanbase driving fan-voted outcomes ahead of the September 27 ceremony, where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall and show opener, buoyed by its ambitious long-form format but facing a narrower path against Swift’s momentum. Lower probabilities for Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean entries align with comparatively lighter recent commercial or cultural tailwinds in this marquee race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВидео года 2026 по версии VMA
Видео года 2026 по версии VMA
The Fate of Ophelia (Тейлор Свифт) 66%
Confessions II – The Film (Мадонна) 23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ариана Гранде) 1%
I Just Might (Бруно Марс) 1%
The Fate of Ophelia (Тейлор Свифт)
66%
Confessions II – The Film (Мадонна)
23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ариана Гранде)
9%
I Just Might (Бруно Марс)
9%
Storm (Gener8ion при участии Yung Lean)
9%
Tears (Сабрина Карпентер)
9%
The Fate of Ophelia (Тейлор Свифт) 66%
Confessions II – The Film (Мадонна) 23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ариана Гранде) 1%
I Just Might (Бруно Марс) 1%
The Fate of Ophelia (Тейлор Свифт)
66%
Confessions II – The Film (Мадонна)
23%
Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ариана Гранде)
9%
I Just Might (Бруно Марс)
9%
Storm (Gener8ion при участии Yung Lean)
9%
Tears (Сабрина Карпентер)
9%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” leads the VMA Video of the Year market at 63% implied probability, reflecting her unmatched category history, the track’s chart-topping performance from *The Life of a Showgirl*, and the video’s high-production visuals that earned multiple technical nods. Traders appear to factor in Swift’s dedicated fanbase driving fan-voted outcomes ahead of the September 27 ceremony, where voting closes September 25. Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sits at 23% as the most-nominated artist overall and show opener, buoyed by its ambitious long-form format but facing a narrower path against Swift’s momentum. Lower probabilities for Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, and Gener8ion ft. Yung Lean entries align with comparatively lighter recent commercial or cultural tailwinds in this marquee race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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