Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWhat will the median home value in New York City be on June 30?
What will the median home value in New York City be on June 30?
>$620k 57%
$613k - $620k 41%
$606k - $613k 9%
$592k - $599k 3.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
$599k - $606k
3%
<$585k
3%
$606k - $613k
9%
$585k - $592k
2%
$592k - $599k
4%
$613k - $620k
41%
>$620k
57%
>$620k 57%
$613k - $620k 41%
$606k - $613k 9%
$592k - $599k 3.5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
$599k - $606k
$801 Объем
3%
<$585k
$579 Объем
3%
$606k - $613k
$1,025 Объем
9%
$585k - $592k
$308 Объем
2%
$592k - $599k
$458 Объем
4%
$613k - $620k
$566 Объем
41%
>$620k
$933 Объем
57%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Объем
$4,671Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Объем
$4,671Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Redfin and Zillow data through May 2026 show NYC median sale prices holding in the $775k–$876k range with 2–4% year-over-year gains, supported by steady employment and limited new supply despite rising mortgage rates near 6.3%. These trends, alongside broader inventory recovery and balanced buyer-seller conditions, have anchored trader sentiment on the $613k–$620k bucket at 53.5% implied probability, with the adjacent $606k–$613k range at 35%. Elevated borrowing costs and cooling sales velocity limit upside risks above $620k while capping downside pressure, as the two-week horizon to June 30 leaves little room for major catalysts to shift the skin-in-the-game consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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