Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено< $429 тыс. 38%
429 000 $ – 431 000 $ 18%
431 тыс. — 433 тыс. 15%
$433k - $435k 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $429 тыс.
32%
429 000 $ – 431 000 $
18%
431 тыс. — 433 тыс.
15%
$433k - $435k
11%
435 тыс. – 437 тыс.
7%
437 тыс. — 439 тыс.
5%
>$439k
5%
< $429 тыс. 38%
429 000 $ – 431 000 $ 18%
431 тыс. — 433 тыс. 15%
$433k - $435k 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $429 тыс.
$176 Объем
32%
429 000 $ – 431 000 $
$18 Объем
18%
431 тыс. — 433 тыс.
$1 Объем
15%
$433k - $435k
$1 Объем
11%
435 тыс. – 437 тыс.
$0 Объем
7%
437 тыс. — 439 тыс.
$30 Объем
5%
>$439k
$0 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Объем
$227Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Объем
$227Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent median existing-home sales prices reached $429,300 in May 2026 according to National Association of Realtors data, anchoring the widest market-implied probability at 33% for outcomes below $429,000. Slowing year-over-year appreciation of 0.7–1.7% through March, per FHFA and Case-Shiller indices, combined with 30-year mortgage rates near 6.4% and mixed monthly price changes, has tempered upward momentum and widened the distribution across $429,000–$439,000 bands. Seasonal patterns, rising inventory, and pending June releases from NAR and FHFA introduce further uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution, keeping probabilities diffuse as traders weigh modest price stability against potential further softening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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