Recent sales data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median prices holding near or slightly below prior-year levels at roughly $1.0 million, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from mortgage rates near 6.3 percent. Elevated financing costs continue to limit buyer demand and transaction volumes, producing the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $1.172 million–$1.190 million range. Seasonal spring activity and limited inventory provide modest counter-support, yet year-to-date softening and mixed leading indicators leave the precise June 30 reading contested. With resolution only weeks away, final May and June reports on sales, days on market, and rate-sensitive demand will determine whether values settle in the leading bins or shift lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,172M - $1,181M 28%
$1,181M - $1,190M 27%
<1,172 млн $ 17%
$1,190M - $1,199M 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
<1,172 млн $
17%
$1,172M - $1,181M
28%
$1,181M - $1,190M
32%
$1,190M - $1,199M
14%
$1,199M - $1,208M
6%
$1,208M - $1,216M
5%
>$1,216M
5%
$1,172M - $1,181M 28%
$1,181M - $1,190M 27%
<1,172 млн $ 17%
$1,190M - $1,199M 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
<1,172 млн $
$104 Объем
17%
$1,172M - $1,181M
$40 Объем
28%
$1,181M - $1,190M
$221 Объем
32%
$1,190M - $1,199M
$40 Объем
14%
$1,199M - $1,208M
$48 Объем
6%
$1,208M - $1,216M
$40 Объем
5%
>$1,216M
$40 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent sales data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median prices holding near or slightly below prior-year levels at roughly $1.0 million, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from mortgage rates near 6.3 percent. Elevated financing costs continue to limit buyer demand and transaction volumes, producing the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $1.172 million–$1.190 million range. Seasonal spring activity and limited inventory provide modest counter-support, yet year-to-date softening and mixed leading indicators leave the precise June 30 reading contested. With resolution only weeks away, final May and June reports on sales, days on market, and rate-sensitive demand will determine whether values settle in the leading bins or shift lower.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Открытие рынка: Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Объем
$534Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)Recent sales data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median prices holding near or slightly below prior-year levels at roughly $1.0 million, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from mortgage rates near 6.3 percent. Elevated financing costs continue to limit buyer demand and transaction volumes, producing the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $1.172 million–$1.190 million range. Seasonal spring activity and limited inventory provide modest counter-support, yet year-to-date softening and mixed leading indicators leave the precise June 30 reading contested. With resolution only weeks away, final May and June reports on sales, days on market, and rate-sensitive demand will determine whether values settle in the leading bins or shift lower.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/40)
Объем
$534Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent sales data through May 2026 show Los Angeles-area median prices holding near or slightly below prior-year levels at roughly $1.0 million, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from mortgage rates near 6.3 percent. Elevated financing costs continue to limit buyer demand and transaction volumes, producing the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the $1.172 million–$1.190 million range. Seasonal spring activity and limited inventory provide modest counter-support, yet year-to-date softening and mixed leading indicators leave the precise June 30 reading contested. With resolution only weeks away, final May and June reports on sales, days on market, and rate-sensitive demand will determine whether values settle in the leading bins or shift lower.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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