Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$342k - $345k 20%
339 тыс. - 342 тыс. 15%
>354 тыс. долл. 11%
< $339 тыс. 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $339 тыс.
28%
339 тыс. - 342 тыс.
15%
$342k - $345k
20%
345 тыс. — 348 тыс. долларов
9%
$348k - $351k
9%
351 тыс. - 354 тыс.
7%
>354 тыс. долл.
11%
$342k - $345k 20%
339 тыс. - 342 тыс. 15%
>354 тыс. долл. 11%
< $339 тыс. 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
< $339 тыс.
$77 Объем
28%
339 тыс. - 342 тыс.
$51 Объем
15%
$342k - $345k
$258 Объем
20%
345 тыс. — 348 тыс. долларов
$173 Объем
9%
$348k - $351k
$188 Объем
9%
351 тыс. - 354 тыс.
$46 Объем
7%
>354 тыс. долл.
$185 Объем
11%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Открытие рынка: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Объем
$978Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Объем
$978Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this closely contested Chicago median home value market clusters around the $339k–$345k range, reflecting modest near-term appreciation amid low inventory and steady demand. Persistent supply constraints, with active listings down year-over-year, continue to support prices despite mortgage rates near 6%, while recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $326k and Redfin median sale prices around $420k highlight methodological differences that inject uncertainty ahead of the June 30 resolution. Seasonal summer activity and any final May–June transaction data could shift implied probabilities across the narrow bins, underscoring how real-capital positioning aggregates views on housing fundamentals without guaranteeing outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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