Recent May 2026 core CPI data at 2.9% year-over-year—matching consensus and reaching a seven-month high—anchors trader positioning for the June release, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to 2.85%. Persistent shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care inflation continue to support readings near 2.9%, while softening used vehicles and commodities provide some offset. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 2.9–3.0% as traders weigh base effects and the July 14 release against broader monetary policy signals, including Treasury yields and Fed communications on the path to 2% target inflation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено3,0% 49%
2,9% 46%
3,1% 46%
3,2% 31%
≤2,4%
28%
2,5%
29%
2,6%
28%
2,7%
28%
2,8%
28%
2,9%
46%
3,0%
49%
3,1%
46%
3,2%
31%
≥3,3%
29%
3,0% 49%
2,9% 46%
3,1% 46%
3,2% 31%
≤2,4%
28%
2,5%
29%
2,6%
28%
2,7%
28%
2,8%
28%
2,9%
46%
3,0%
49%
3,1%
46%
3,2%
31%
≥3,3%
29%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Jun 10, 2026, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 core CPI data at 2.9% year-over-year—matching consensus and reaching a seven-month high—anchors trader positioning for the June release, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to 2.85%. Persistent shelter costs, transportation services, and medical care inflation continue to support readings near 2.9%, while softening used vehicles and commodities provide some offset. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 2.9–3.0% as traders weigh base effects and the July 14 release against broader monetary policy signals, including Treasury yields and Fed communications on the path to 2% target inflation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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