Anthropic holds a commanding lead in this market because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models have posted top or near-top scores on recent intelligence and reasoning benchmarks, including strong results in agentic coding and instruction-following that align with style-controlled evaluations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive through superior multimodal and accuracy metrics on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, yet trails in the specific style-control criteria traders are pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, improved hallucination rates and daily-use performance but has not yet displaced Anthropic on the leaderboard subsets most relevant to this resolution. With the June cutoff approaching, traders appear focused on which lab’s latest large language model will maintain the highest composite ranking once all current frontier releases are fully assessed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня? (Управление стилем включено)
Какая компания имеет лучшую модель ИИ в конце июня? (Управление стилем включено)
Anthropic 68%
Google 23%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,457,332 Объем
$1,457,332 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
68%
23%
OpenAI
6%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Alibaba
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
Microsoft
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Anthropic 68%
Google 23%
OpenAI 6%
xAI 2.6%
$1,457,332 Объем
$1,457,332 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$30,603 Объем
68%
$18,763 Объем
23%
OpenAI
$49,359 Объем
6%
xAI
$14,989 Объем
3%
DeepSeek
$201,403 Объем
1%
Alibaba
$136,546 Объем
1%
Meta
$8,179 Объем
1%
Z.ai
$412,921 Объем
1%
Microsoft
$11,907 Объем
1%
Moonshot
$203,389 Объем
1%
Meituan
$270,728 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$59,374 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$12,844 Объем
<1%
Baidu
$8,646 Объем
<1%
Amazon
$17,681 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding lead in this market because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models have posted top or near-top scores on recent intelligence and reasoning benchmarks, including strong results in agentic coding and instruction-following that align with style-controlled evaluations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive through superior multimodal and accuracy metrics on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, yet trails in the specific style-control criteria traders are pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, improved hallucination rates and daily-use performance but has not yet displaced Anthropic on the leaderboard subsets most relevant to this resolution. With the June cutoff approaching, traders appear focused on which lab’s latest large language model will maintain the highest composite ranking once all current frontier releases are fully assessed.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Объем
$1,457,332Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding lead in this market because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models have posted top or near-top scores on recent intelligence and reasoning benchmarks, including strong results in agentic coding and instruction-following that align with style-controlled evaluations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive through superior multimodal and accuracy metrics on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, yet trails in the specific style-control criteria traders are pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, improved hallucination rates and daily-use performance but has not yet displaced Anthropic on the leaderboard subsets most relevant to this resolution. With the June cutoff approaching, traders appear focused on which lab’s latest large language model will maintain the highest composite ranking once all current frontier releases are fully assessed.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$1,457,332Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic holds a commanding lead in this market because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos Preview models have posted top or near-top scores on recent intelligence and reasoning benchmarks, including strong results in agentic coding and instruction-following that align with style-controlled evaluations. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro remains competitive through superior multimodal and accuracy metrics on GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, yet trails in the specific style-control criteria traders are pricing. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5, released in late April, improved hallucination rates and daily-use performance but has not yet displaced Anthropic on the leaderboard subsets most relevant to this resolution. With the June cutoff approaching, traders appear focused on which lab’s latest large language model will maintain the highest composite ranking once all current frontier releases are fully assessed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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