Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through targeted removals of senior military officers continues to shape expectations for further action in 2026. In late 2025 and January 2026, investigations removed multiple Central Military Commission members, including vice chairmen He Weidong and Zhang Youxia plus Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, reducing the body to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. These steps followed earlier expulsions of Rocket Force and ground-force networks and coincided with the dismissal of additional generals from legislative roles ahead of the March 2026 Two Sessions. Analysts link the pattern to enforcement of political loyalty and elimination of potential rival networks ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, when age-based turnover will affect large segments of the Central Committee and Politburo.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$157,351 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Дун Цзюнь
8%
Ван И
7%
Чжан Шэнмин
6%
Дин Сюэсян
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
5%
Ван Хунин
5%
Ли Цян
5%
Цай Ци
4%
Ли Си
1%
$157,351 Объем
Дун Цзюнь
$31,499 Объем
8%
Ван И
$11,781 Объем
7%
Чжан Шэнмин
$19,835 Объем
6%
Дин Сюэсян
$13,496 Объем
5%
Чжао Лэцзи
$6,881 Объем
5%
Ван Хунин
$10,095 Объем
5%
Ли Цян
$5,529 Объем
5%
Цай Ци
$33,840 Объем
4%
Ли Си
$24,394 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through targeted removals of senior military officers continues to shape expectations for further action in 2026. In late 2025 and January 2026, investigations removed multiple Central Military Commission members, including vice chairmen He Weidong and Zhang Youxia plus Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, reducing the body to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. These steps followed earlier expulsions of Rocket Force and ground-force networks and coincided with the dismissal of additional generals from legislative roles ahead of the March 2026 Two Sessions. Analysts link the pattern to enforcement of political loyalty and elimination of potential rival networks ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, when age-based turnover will affect large segments of the Central Committee and Politburo.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Объем
$157,351Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through targeted removals of senior military officers continues to shape expectations for further action in 2026. In late 2025 and January 2026, investigations removed multiple Central Military Commission members, including vice chairmen He Weidong and Zhang Youxia plus Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, reducing the body to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. These steps followed earlier expulsions of Rocket Force and ground-force networks and coincided with the dismissal of additional generals from legislative roles ahead of the March 2026 Two Sessions. Analysts link the pattern to enforcement of political loyalty and elimination of potential rival networks ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, when age-based turnover will affect large segments of the Central Committee and Politburo.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$157,351Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing consolidation of authority through targeted removals of senior military officers continues to shape expectations for further action in 2026. In late 2025 and January 2026, investigations removed multiple Central Military Commission members, including vice chairmen He Weidong and Zhang Youxia plus Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, reducing the body to Xi and discipline chief Zhang Shengmin. These steps followed earlier expulsions of Rocket Force and ground-force networks and coincided with the dismissal of additional generals from legislative roles ahead of the March 2026 Two Sessions. Analysts link the pattern to enforcement of political loyalty and elimination of potential rival networks ahead of the 21st Party Congress scheduled for 2027, when age-based turnover will affect large segments of the Central Committee and Politburo.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы