Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply-chain leaks confirm Apple is advancing a redesigned 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pro (or Ultra) with an OLED touchscreen, Dynamic Island cutout, and M5 Pro/Max chips, targeting a late-2026 to early-2027 window. Trader sentiment remains nearly even because the device has cleared key production hurdles yet faces ongoing memory shortages and Apple’s history of shifting high-end launches into the new year. macOS 27 updates already include expanded touch-friendly elements, supporting the timeline, while the lack of an official announcement or confirmed mass-production start date keeps the outcome contested. An October keynote, earnings disclosure, or fresh Gurman update on certification and yields could quickly move the implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?
Выпустит ли Apple MacBook с сенсорным экраном в 2026 году?
Да
54% вероятность
$49,852 Объем
$49,852 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
Да
54% вероятность
$49,852 Объем
$49,852 Объем
30 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply-chain leaks confirm Apple is advancing a redesigned 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pro (or Ultra) with an OLED touchscreen, Dynamic Island cutout, and M5 Pro/Max chips, targeting a late-2026 to early-2027 window. Trader sentiment remains nearly even because the device has cleared key production hurdles yet faces ongoing memory shortages and Apple’s history of shifting high-end launches into the new year. macOS 27 updates already include expanded touch-friendly elements, supporting the timeline, while the lack of an official announcement or confirmed mass-production start date keeps the outcome contested. An October keynote, earnings disclosure, or fresh Gurman update on certification and yields could quickly move the implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Объем
$49,852Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply-chain leaks confirm Apple is advancing a redesigned 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pro (or Ultra) with an OLED touchscreen, Dynamic Island cutout, and M5 Pro/Max chips, targeting a late-2026 to early-2027 window. Trader sentiment remains nearly even because the device has cleared key production hurdles yet faces ongoing memory shortages and Apple’s history of shifting high-end launches into the new year. macOS 27 updates already include expanded touch-friendly elements, supporting the timeline, while the lack of an official announcement or confirmed mass-production start date keeps the outcome contested. An October keynote, earnings disclosure, or fresh Gurman update on certification and yields could quickly move the implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$49,852Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 5, 2026, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply-chain leaks confirm Apple is advancing a redesigned 14-inch and 16-inch MacBook Pro (or Ultra) with an OLED touchscreen, Dynamic Island cutout, and M5 Pro/Max chips, targeting a late-2026 to early-2027 window. Trader sentiment remains nearly even because the device has cleared key production hurdles yet faces ongoing memory shortages and Apple’s history of shifting high-end launches into the new year. macOS 27 updates already include expanded touch-friendly elements, supporting the timeline, while the lack of an official announcement or confirmed mass-production start date keeps the outcome contested. An October keynote, earnings disclosure, or fresh Gurman update on certification and yields could quickly move the implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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