Justice Samuel Alito, 76, recently told the Wall Street Journal that he plans to serve another Supreme Court term, directly addressing and reducing speculation about an imminent retirement. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming he had stepped down, which the network quickly retracted, along with earlier reports of White House pressure on Alito and Justice Thomas to create vacancies while Republicans hold a Senate majority. Traders view near-term retirement as unlikely given Alito’s statements, the hiring of clerks for the 2026-2027 term beginning in October, and the strategic value of timing any departure for confirmation under favorable conditions. The next term runs through June or July 2027, with potential shifts in Senate control after the midterms remaining a longer-term consideration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОбъявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
Объявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
$3,451,512 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 сентября
2%
31 декабря
6%
30 июня 2027 года
34%
$3,451,512 Объем
30 сентября
$988,681 Объем
2%
31 декабря
$813,911 Объем
6%
30 июня 2027 года
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34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, 76, recently told the Wall Street Journal that he plans to serve another Supreme Court term, directly addressing and reducing speculation about an imminent retirement. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming he had stepped down, which the network quickly retracted, along with earlier reports of White House pressure on Alito and Justice Thomas to create vacancies while Republicans hold a Senate majority. Traders view near-term retirement as unlikely given Alito’s statements, the hiring of clerks for the 2026-2027 term beginning in October, and the strategic value of timing any departure for confirmation under favorable conditions. The next term runs through June or July 2027, with potential shifts in Senate control after the midterms remaining a longer-term consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$3,451,512Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, 76, recently told the Wall Street Journal that he plans to serve another Supreme Court term, directly addressing and reducing speculation about an imminent retirement. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming he had stepped down, which the network quickly retracted, along with earlier reports of White House pressure on Alito and Justice Thomas to create vacancies while Republicans hold a Senate majority. Traders view near-term retirement as unlikely given Alito’s statements, the hiring of clerks for the 2026-2027 term beginning in October, and the strategic value of timing any departure for confirmation under favorable conditions. The next term runs through June or July 2027, with potential shifts in Senate control after the midterms remaining a longer-term consideration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Объем
$3,451,512Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito, 76, recently told the Wall Street Journal that he plans to serve another Supreme Court term, directly addressing and reducing speculation about an imminent retirement. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming he had stepped down, which the network quickly retracted, along with earlier reports of White House pressure on Alito and Justice Thomas to create vacancies while Republicans hold a Senate majority. Traders view near-term retirement as unlikely given Alito’s statements, the hiring of clerks for the 2026-2027 term beginning in October, and the strategic value of timing any departure for confirmation under favorable conditions. The next term runs through June or July 2027, with potential shifts in Senate control after the midterms remaining a longer-term consideration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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