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Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

icon for Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?

53% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
53% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases.

Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.'

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 9:17 PM ET
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases.

Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.'

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 16, 2026, 9:17 PM ET
The Supreme Court has heard arguments on the constitutionality of 18 U.S.C. § 922(g)(3), the federal statute that prohibits the possession of firearms by a person who “is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance." This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States rules that, in at least some cases, this law violates the Constitution of the United States by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying ruling must clearly and finally rule that the law is unconstitutional in some cases. Procedural rulings that do not clearly resolve whether the relevant law may lawfully be enforced will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. If a Supreme Court ruling clearly and finally upholds this law in all challenged applications, this market will resolve to 'No.' The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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Текущая вероятность для «Will SCOTUS let drug users own guns?» составляет 53% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 53%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

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