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Politics·NATO

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

icon for Who will attend the NATO Summit?
Politics·NATO

Who will attend the NATO Summit?

$229,438 Объем

8 июл. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$229,438 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$165,657 Объем

99%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$49,660 Объем

98%

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$14,121 Объем

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara, scheduled for July 7–8, centers on alliance defense planning, spending targets, burden-sharing, and support for Ukraine amid ongoing strains in transatlantic relations. Trader pricing reflects high implied probabilities for senior U.S. officials, driven by the typical attendance of the president and secretary of state at heads-of-state summits, alongside recent statements from NATO leadership on accelerating defense production and EU cooperation ahead of defense ministers’ preparatory meetings. Key variables include U.S. policy priorities on collective security commitments and any last-minute diplomatic or scheduling shifts, with the short timeline to the event limiting scope for major changes in delegation composition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$229,438
Дата окончания
8 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The 2026 NATO Summit in Ankara, scheduled for July 7–8, centers on alliance defense planning, spending targets, burden-sharing, and support for Ukraine amid ongoing strains in transatlantic relations. Trader pricing reflects high implied probabilities for senior U.S. officials, driven by the typical attendance of the president and secretary of state at heads-of-state summits, alongside recent statements from NATO leadership on accelerating defense production and EU cooperation ahead of defense ministers’ preparatory meetings. Key variables include U.S. policy priorities on collective security commitments and any last-minute diplomatic or scheduling shifts, with the short timeline to the event limiting scope for major changes in delegation composition.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026
in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$229,438
Дата окончания
8 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 7, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

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Текущий фаворит для «Who will attend the NATO Summit?» — «Donald Trump» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Marco Rubio» с 98%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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