Daniel Merida Aguilar enters the ATP Montreal first-round matchup as the clear favorite against Canadian wild card Liam Draxl, reflecting his higher ranking near No. 63 and stronger recent form of 49-27 over the past year. Aguilar has shown consistency on outdoor hard courts, while Draxl sits at No. 209 with a 2-3 record in 2026 and recent losses that include a final defeat in Winnipeg. The hard-court surface at Rogers Centre favors Aguilar’s baseline game, and the absence of prior head-to-head meetings leaves recent results and ranking gaps as the primary drivers of trader consensus. Draxl’s home-country status and potential crowd support represent the main variables that could influence an upset, though schedule and conditioning edges point toward the higher-ranked Spaniard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAll Sports
MLB
UFC
All
MLS
Liga MX
Club Friendlies
LaLiga
K League 2
Premier League
UCL
Uruguayan Primera División
Eliteserien
Chinese Super League
Allsvenskan
Categoría Primera A
K League 1
Brasileirão Série A
Primera Nacional
NWSL
Brasileirão Série B
Liga 1
Primeira Liga
DFB-Pokal
LigaPro Serie A
Copa Sudamericana
Danish Superliga
Ligue 1
Ukrainian Premier League
Copa Libertadores
NB I
Coppa Italia
Liga Nacional de Guatemala
USL Championship
USL League One
UEL
EFL Championship
Categoría Primera B
J2 League
Ekstraklasa
OBOS-ligaen
Serie A
Besta deild karla
Prva Liga
Venezuelan Primera División
Bolivian Primera División
UEFA Conference League
Primera B (Chile)
Eerste Divisie
Liga de Primera
SuperLiga
Kazakhstan Premier League
King Cup
Veikkausliiga
LaLiga2
China League One
efbet Liga
J1 League
Superettan
Saudi Pro League
Eredivisie
Scottish Premiership
Copa do Brasil
Süper Lig
South Africa Premiership
Liga FPD
Serbian SuperLiga
Greek Cup
Erovnuli Liga
ÖFB Cup
Scotland League Cup
Bundesliga
League of Ireland Premier Division
Brasileirão Série C
Leagues Cup
Copa Argentina
Women's Champions League
Niké liga
A Lyga
Ligue 2
Turkey 1. Lig
Belgium Pro League
Slovenia PrvaLiga
Uzbekistan Super League
Austria Bundesliga
Australia Cup
National League
Chance Liga
2. Bundesliga
TFF Süper Kupa
Swiss Super League
League One
Serie B
Premium Liiga
League Two
Challenger Pro League
Israeli Premier League
Egyptian Premier League
ASEAN Championship
Greece Super League
Betri deildin
A-League Men
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
EFL CUP
Scottish Cup
Qatar Stars League
UAE Pro League
Community Shield
Trophée des Champions
Hockey
Cycling
Poker
Chess
Pickleball
Esports
Daniel Merida Aguilar – Liam Draxl
Moneyline
$361K Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Liam Draxl.
This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Daniel Merida Aguilar – Liam Draxl
Moneyline
$361K Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Liam Draxl.
This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/currentResolver
0x65070BE91...Daniel Merida Aguilar enters the ATP Montreal first-round matchup as the clear favorite against Canadian wild card Liam Draxl, reflecting his higher ranking near No. 63 and stronger recent form of 49-27 over the past year. Aguilar has shown consistency on outdoor hard courts, while Draxl sits at No. 209 with a 2-3 record in 2026 and recent losses that include a final defeat in Winnipeg. The hard-court surface at Rogers Centre favors Aguilar’s baseline game, and the absence of prior head-to-head meetings leaves recent results and ranking gaps as the primary drivers of trader consensus. Draxl’s home-country status and potential crowd support represent the main variables that could influence an upset, though schedule and conditioning edges point toward the higher-ranked Spaniard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions