**Steve Beaton holds a 60.5% implied probability in the MODUS Super Series matchup against Paul Hogan due to his greater experience, stronger recent form in the weekly format, and head-to-head edge.** Both 62-year-old English veterans compete regularly on the MODUS circuit in Portsmouth, where the Super Series serves as a regular competitive outlet between other tours. Beaton, the 1996 BDO world champion nicknamed the “Bronzed Adonis,” has used the event effectively in 2026 to stay sharp, frequently reaching group finales or strong placements and posting competitive averages around 85+. In the current week’s Group A action, he secured multiple wins (including against Nuijten and Smith) while mixing results against top group rivals like Henderson. Hogan, a consistent WDF circuit player, has shown flashes in MODUS groups (such as strong Thursday starts in prior weeks) but has been more variable overall, with recent open-event results featuring early exits or mixed leg outcomes. Their limited head-to-head favors Beaton, who defeated Hogan 3-0 in a February 2025 encounter. No injury or withdrawal issues affect either player, and the short-format legs reward Beaton’s smoother throwing style and familiarity with the venue’s demands. The pricing reflects trader consensus on these established edges rather than a guarantee of outcome.
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Paul Hogan – Steve Beaton


Moneyline
$71 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Paul Hogan' if Paul Hogan wins against Steve Beaton. This market will resolve to 'Steve Beaton' if Steve Beaton wins against Paul Hogan.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://modussuperseries.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Paul Hogan – Steve Beaton


Moneyline
$71 Vol.
This market will resolve to 'Paul Hogan' if Paul Hogan wins against Steve Beaton. This market will resolve to 'Steve Beaton' if Steve Beaton wins against Paul Hogan.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 1:38 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://modussuperseries.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Steve Beaton holds a 60.5% implied probability in the MODUS Super Series matchup against Paul Hogan due to his greater experience, stronger recent form in the weekly format, and head-to-head edge.** Both 62-year-old English veterans compete regularly on the MODUS circuit in Portsmouth, where the Super Series serves as a regular competitive outlet between other tours. Beaton, the 1996 BDO world champion nicknamed the “Bronzed Adonis,” has used the event effectively in 2026 to stay sharp, frequently reaching group finales or strong placements and posting competitive averages around 85+. In the current week’s Group A action, he secured multiple wins (including against Nuijten and Smith) while mixing results against top group rivals like Henderson. Hogan, a consistent WDF circuit player, has shown flashes in MODUS groups (such as strong Thursday starts in prior weeks) but has been more variable overall, with recent open-event results featuring early exits or mixed leg outcomes. Their limited head-to-head favors Beaton, who defeated Hogan 3-0 in a February 2025 encounter. No injury or withdrawal issues affect either player, and the short-format legs reward Beaton’s smoother throwing style and familiarity with the venue’s demands. The pricing reflects trader consensus on these established edges rather than a guarantee of outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeware of external links.
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