The tight clustering of odds around 50% for numerous labs reflects intense uncertainty in the Arena.ai Text leaderboard (style control enabled) heading into late October 2026. Trader sentiment is shaped by ongoing model releases and iterative improvements from Chinese labs such as Moonshot’s Kimi series, Alibaba’s GLM, Baidu, and DeepSeek, which have narrowed gaps with Western leaders like Google’s Gemini and Meta’s Llama derivatives through larger context windows, mixture-of-experts architectures, and refined post-training. Style control debias for verbosity and formatting, rewarding substantive capability gains over presentation, while recent benchmarks show top models separated by just a few Elo points. Key near-term catalysts include any October launches or fine-tunes that could reorder lab rankings before resolution on October 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGoogle 36%
Alibaba 16%
Meta 14%
Tencent 12.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
36%
Alibaba
26%
Meta
14%
Tencent
12%
DeepSeek
8%
OpenAI
6%
ByteDance
6%
Baidu
5%
Anthropic
5%
SpaceXAI
5%
Thinky
5%
Z.ai
4%
MiniMax
4%
StepFun
4%
Amazon
4%
Moonshot
13%
Xiaomi
3%
Mistral
13%
Meituan
7%
Microsoft
1%
Nvidia
1%
Google 36%
Alibaba 16%
Meta 14%
Tencent 12.4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
$1,899 ปริมาณ
36%
Alibaba
$362 ปริมาณ
26%
Meta
$416 ปริมาณ
14%
Tencent
$226 ปริมาณ
12%
DeepSeek
$145 ปริมาณ
8%
OpenAI
$150 ปริมาณ
6%
ByteDance
$306 ปริมาณ
6%
Baidu
$145 ปริมาณ
5%
Anthropic
$234 ปริมาณ
5%
SpaceXAI
$145 ปริมาณ
5%
Thinky
$231 ปริมาณ
5%
Z.ai
$150 ปริมาณ
4%
MiniMax
$247 ปริมาณ
4%
StepFun
$226 ปริมาณ
4%
Amazon
$244 ปริมาณ
4%
Moonshot
$180 ปริมาณ
13%
Xiaomi
$333 ปริมาณ
3%
Mistral
$250 ปริมาณ
13%
Meituan
$397 ปริมาณ
7%
Microsoft
$211 ปริมาณ
1%
Nvidia
$226 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight clustering of odds around 50% for numerous labs reflects intense uncertainty in the Arena.ai Text leaderboard (style control enabled) heading into late October 2026. Trader sentiment is shaped by ongoing model releases and iterative improvements from Chinese labs such as Moonshot’s Kimi series, Alibaba’s GLM, Baidu, and DeepSeek, which have narrowed gaps with Western leaders like Google’s Gemini and Meta’s Llama derivatives through larger context windows, mixture-of-experts architectures, and refined post-training. Style control debias for verbosity and formatting, rewarding substantive capability gains over presentation, while recent benchmarks show top models separated by just a few Elo points. Key near-term catalysts include any October launches or fine-tunes that could reorder lab rankings before resolution on October 31.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,727วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The tight clustering of odds around 50% for numerous labs reflects intense uncertainty in the Arena.ai Text leaderboard (style control enabled) heading into late October 2026. Trader sentiment is shaped by ongoing model releases and iterative improvements from Chinese labs such as Moonshot’s Kimi series, Alibaba’s GLM, Baidu, and DeepSeek, which have narrowed gaps with Western leaders like Google’s Gemini and Meta’s Llama derivatives through larger context windows, mixture-of-experts architectures, and refined post-training. Style control debias for verbosity and formatting, rewarding substantive capability gains over presentation, while recent benchmarks show top models separated by just a few Elo points. Key near-term catalysts include any October launches or fine-tunes that could reorder lab rankings before resolution on October 31.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,727วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of odds around 50% for numerous labs reflects intense uncertainty in the Arena.ai Text leaderboard (style control enabled) heading into late October 2026. Trader sentiment is shaped by ongoing model releases and iterative improvements from Chinese labs such as Moonshot’s Kimi series, Alibaba’s GLM, Baidu, and DeepSeek, which have narrowed gaps with Western leaders like Google’s Gemini and Meta’s Llama derivatives through larger context windows, mixture-of-experts architectures, and refined post-training. Style control debias for verbosity and formatting, rewarding substantive capability gains over presentation, while recent benchmarks show top models separated by just a few Elo points. Key near-term catalysts include any October launches or fine-tunes that could reorder lab rankings before resolution on October 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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